Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

A Dananjaya, Men's ODI

Batting first: average of 12.6, 2.6 below their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 231 balls faced.
Sample: 231 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 59.7, 13.1 below their strike rate of 72.8 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 243 balls faced.
Sample: 243 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 12.8, 2.5 below their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 206 balls faced.
Sample: 206 balls · low confidence

Spin: average of 20.3, 5.0 above their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 225 balls faced.
Sample: 225 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 17.5, 2.3 above their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 235 balls faced.
Sample: 235 balls · medium confidence
Chasing: average of 20.6, 5.3 above their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 210 balls faced.
Sample: 210 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 71.6, 40.4 above their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (+129%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 788 balls bowled.
Sample: 788 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): economy of 6.81, 1.65 above their economy of 5.16 on all balls bowled (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 318 balls bowled.
Sample: 318 balls · low confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 44.0, 12.8 above their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 240 balls bowled.
Sample: 240 balls · low confidence

At home: average of 23.3, 7.9 below their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1207 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,207 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 23.3, 7.9 below their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1207 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,207 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 4.70, 0.46 below their economy of 5.16 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1514 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,514 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 28.9, 7.4 below their strike rate of 36.3 on all balls bowled (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +15%) — 318 balls bowled.
Sample: 318 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	91	52	1	52.00	57.14	59.3%	4.4%
Right-arm fast-medium	82	80	6	13.33	97.56	45.1%	11.0%
Right-arm fast	72	62	7	8.86	86.11	51.4%	9.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	243	145	9	16.11	59.67	60.5%	5.3%
Death (41-50)	198	176	12	14.67	88.89	44.4%	9.6%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,392	1,183	37	31.97	5.10	37.6	48.8%	7.7%
Left-handed batters	603	533	18	29.61	5.30	33.5	52.7%	9.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,514	1,185	41	28.90	4.70	36.9	51.7%	6.5%
Powerplay (1-10)	318	361	11	32.82	6.81	28.9	48.7%	15.7%
Death (41-50)	163	170	3	56.67	6.26	54.3	36.8%	8.6%