Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

A Gardner, Women's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 95.6, 12.5 below their strike rate of 108.1 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1147 balls faced.
Sample: 1,147 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 27.5, 5.9 below their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 456 balls faced.
Sample: 456 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): average of 23.1, 10.3 below their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 335 balls faced.
Sample: 335 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 26.8, 6.6 below their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 379 balls faced.
Sample: 379 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 28.0, 5.4 below their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 327 balls faced.
Sample: 327 balls · medium confidence
Leg break: average of 19.1, 14.3 below their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (-43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 167 balls faced.
Sample: 167 balls · low confidence
England: average of 20.2, 13.2 below their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (-39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 182 balls faced.
Sample: 182 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

England: average of 52.9, 19.5 above their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (+58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 454 balls faced.
Sample: 454 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 41.9, 8.5 above their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 541 balls faced.
Sample: 541 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 42.2, 8.7 above their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1147 balls faced.
Sample: 1,147 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 35.8, 2.4 above their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 867 balls faced.
Sample: 867 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 60.0, 26.6 above their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (+80%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 263 balls faced.
Sample: 263 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 58.0, 24.6 above their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (+74%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 278 balls faced.
Sample: 278 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm medium: average of 54.0, 20.6 above their average of 33.4 on all balls faced (+62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 407 balls faced.
Sample: 407 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

India: average of 33.8, 11.0 above their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (+48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +10%) — 1050 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,050 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 23.9, 1.0 above their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (+4%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 3013 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,013 balls · high confidence
India: average of 38.3, 15.5 above their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (+68%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 522 balls bowled.
Sample: 522 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 33.3, 10.4 above their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 578 balls bowled.
Sample: 578 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Australia: average of 19.8, 3.1 below their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1191 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,191 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 4.04, 0.27 below their economy of 4.31 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 2981 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,981 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 19.5, 3.3 below their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 852 balls bowled.
Sample: 852 balls · high confidence
England: average of 19.4, 3.5 below their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +10%) — 619 balls bowled.
Sample: 619 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 15.2, 7.6 below their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 433 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm medium	407	432	8	54.00	106.14	46.9%	14.5%
Off break	327	336	12	28.00	102.75	41.6%	12.5%
Right-arm fast-medium	277	291	10	29.10	105.05	45.1%	13.0%
Slow left-arm orthodox	263	300	5	60.00	114.07	44.9%	14.4%
Leg break	167	191	10	19.10	114.37	46.1%	13.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,147	1,096	26	42.15	95.55	47.8%	11.4%
Death (41-50)	335	508	22	23.09

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	3,013	2,172	91	23.87	4.33	33.1	56.6%	6.8%
Left-handed batters	852	605	31	19.52	4.26	27.5	59.7%	7.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	2,981	2,009	83	24.20	4.04	35.9	58.9%	6.5%
Death (41-50)	619	563	32	17.59	5.46	19.3	45.4%	7.8%
Powerplay (1-10)	282	216	7	30.86	4.60	40.3	66.3%	10.3%