Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

A Johnson, Men's ODI

Spin: average of 15.0, 11.2 below their average of 26.2 on all balls faced (-43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 216 balls faced.
Sample: 216 balls · low confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 15.6, 10.7 below their average of 26.2 on all balls faced (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 165 balls faced.
Sample: 165 balls · low confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 21.6, 4.7 below their average of 26.2 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 200 balls faced.
Sample: 200 balls · low confidence

Pace: average of 40.4, 14.1 above their average of 26.2 on all balls faced (+54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 451 balls faced.
Sample: 451 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): average of 28.9, 2.6 above their average of 26.2 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 505 balls faced.
Sample: 505 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 38, 10 above their balls per dismissal of 28 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 268 balls faced.
Sample: 268 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm medium: average of 91.0, 64.8 above their average of 26.2 on all balls faced (+247%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 158 balls faced.
Sample: 158 balls · low confidence
Right-arm medium: strike rate of 115.2, 22.1 above their strike rate of 93.0 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 158 balls faced.
Sample: 158 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	170	146	6	24.33	85.88	66.5%	14.1%
Slow left-arm orthodox	165	140	9	15.56	84.85	67.9%	12.7%
Right-arm medium	158	182	2	91.00	115.19	59.5%	20.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	505	462	16	28.88	91.49	67.7%	15.8%
Middle (11-40)	200	194	9	21.56	97.00	54.0%	13.5%