Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

A Sutherland, Women's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Batting first: average of 32.6, 12.1 below their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 597 balls faced.
Sample: 597 balls · high confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 38, 8 below their balls per dismissal of 47 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 460 balls faced.
Sample: 460 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 33.2, 11.4 below their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 468 balls faced.
Sample: 468 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 33.2, 11.4 below their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 468 balls faced.
Sample: 468 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 87.4, 8.1 below their strike rate of 95.6 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 915 balls faced.
Sample: 915 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): average of 26.6, 18.1 below their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 249 balls faced.
Sample: 249 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 39.1, 5.6 below their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 673 balls faced.
Sample: 673 balls · high confidence
India: average of 31.9, 12.7 below their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 340 balls faced.
Sample: 340 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 34.2, 10.4 below their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 264 balls faced.
Sample: 264 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 75.7, 19.9 below their strike rate of 95.6 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 218 balls faced.
Sample: 218 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Chasing: average of 71.9, 27.2 above their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 618 balls faced.
Sample: 618 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 62.7, 18.0 above their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 647 balls faced.
Sample: 647 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 57.1, 12.5 above their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 915 balls faced.
Sample: 915 balls · high confidence
Pace: average of 55.4, 10.8 above their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 518 balls faced.
Sample: 518 balls · high confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 64, 17 above their balls per dismissal of 47 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 320 balls faced.
Sample: 320 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm medium: average of 65.8, 21.1 above their average of 44.7 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 339 balls faced.
Sample: 339 balls · medium confidence
Off break: strike rate of 103.8, 8.2 above their strike rate of 95.6 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 264 balls faced.
Sample: 264 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 36.4, 8.7 above their strike rate of 27.7 on all balls bowled (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 1311 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,311 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 30.8, 9.4 above their average of 21.4 on all balls bowled (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 250 balls bowled.
Sample: 250 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Middle (11-40): economy of 4.23, 0.41 below their economy of 4.65 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1311 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,311 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 20.3, 1.1 below their average of 21.4 on all balls bowled (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1648 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,648 balls · high confidence
India: average of 14.9, 6.5 below their average of 21.4 on all balls bowled (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 365 balls bowled.
Sample: 365 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 19.8, 1.6 below their average of 21.4 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 947 balls bowled.
Sample: 947 balls · high confidence
India: average of 18.7, 2.7 below their average of 21.4 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +10%) — 625 balls bowled.
Sample: 625 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm medium	339	329	5	65.80	97.05	45.4%	11.5%
Off break	264	274	8	34.25	103.79	41.3%	10.6%
Slow left-arm orthodox	218	165	4	41.25	75.69	50.5%	6.4%
Leg break	191	186	4	46.50	97.38	41.9%	10.5%
Right-arm fast-medium	179	170	4	42.50	94.97	49.7%	13.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	915	800	14	57.14	87.43	47.9%	9.5%
Death (41-50)	249	319	12	26.58

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,648	1,280	63	20.32	4.66	26.2	58.6%	9.0%
Left-handed batters	250	185	6	30.83	4.44	41.7	58.0%	7.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,311	925	36	25.69	4.23	36.4	61.3%	7.9%
Death (41-50)	340	341	25	13.64	6.02	13.6	43.5%	10.9%
Powerplay (1-10)	258	212	8	26.50	4.93	32.3	63.6%	11.2%