Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

AG Cremer, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Batting first: average of 11.5, 1.5 below their average of 13.0 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 526 balls faced.
Sample: 526 balls · high confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 9.3, 3.7 below their average of 13.0 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 328 balls faced.
Sample: 328 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 9.3, 3.7 below their average of 13.0 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 328 balls faced.
Sample: 328 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 50.5, 6.9 below their strike rate of 57.3 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 624 balls faced.
Sample: 624 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 49.6, 7.8 below their strike rate of 57.3 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 236 balls faced.
Sample: 236 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 9.7, 3.3 below their average of 13.0 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 201 balls faced.
Sample: 201 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Away from home: average of 16.6, 3.5 above their average of 13.0 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 558 balls faced.
Sample: 558 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 15.8, 2.7 above their average of 13.0 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 624 balls faced.
Sample: 624 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 15.8, 2.8 above their average of 13.0 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 360 balls faced.
Sample: 360 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 26.8, 13.7 above their average of 13.0 on all balls faced (+105%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 181 balls faced.
Sample: 181 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

At home: average of 44.0, 6.9 above their average of 37.1 on all balls bowled (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1249 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,249 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 47.7, 10.6 above their average of 37.1 on all balls bowled (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1074 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,074 balls · high confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 44.0, 6.9 above their average of 37.1 on all balls bowled (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1249 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,249 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 54.2, 17.1 above their average of 37.1 on all balls bowled (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 599 balls bowled.
Sample: 599 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 293.0, 255.9 above their average of 37.1 on all balls bowled (+689%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 324 balls bowled.
Sample: 324 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 75.0, 37.9 above their average of 37.1 on all balls bowled (+102%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 350 balls bowled.
Sample: 350 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Away from home: average of 33.8, 3.3 below their average of 37.1 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 2001 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,001 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 33.2, 3.9 below their average of 37.1 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2176 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,176 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 26.6, 10.5 below their average of 37.1 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 240 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Slow left-arm orthodox	236	117	8	14.63	49.58	66.1%	3.4%
Right-arm fast-medium	201	107	11	9.73	53.23	60.7%	2.5%
Off break	134	73	6	12.17	54.48	55.2%	2.2%
Right-arm medium	130	91	7	13.00	70.00	54.6%	6.2%
Right-arm fast	70	48	1	48.00	68.57	57.1%	5.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	624	315	20	15.75	50.48	64.1%	3.4%
Death (41-50)	262	193	19	10.16

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,176	1,728	52	33.23	4.76	41.8	49.6%	6.5%
Left-handed batters	1,074	907	19	47.74	5.07	56.5	50.0%	8.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	2,987	2,370	59	40.17	4.76	50.6	50.0%	6.7%
Death (41-50)	251	260	10	26.00	6.22	25.1	44.6%	11.6%