Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Agha Salman, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 32, 14 below their balls per dismissal of 46 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 482 balls faced.
Sample: 482 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): average of 27.5, 16.7 below their average of 44.3 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 311 balls faced.
Sample: 311 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 77.0, 18.6 below their strike rate of 95.6 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 357 balls faced.
Sample: 357 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 39.8, 4.5 below their average of 44.3 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 792 balls faced.
Sample: 792 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 34.0, 10.3 below their average of 44.3 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 397 balls faced.
Sample: 397 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Middle (11-40): average of 56.4, 12.1 above their average of 44.3 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 1387 balls faced.
Sample: 1,387 balls · high confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 64, 18 above their balls per dismissal of 46 on all balls faced (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 645 balls faced.
Sample: 645 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 86.6, 42.3 above their average of 44.3 on all balls faced (+96%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 435 balls faced.
Sample: 435 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 61.0, 16.7 above their average of 44.3 on all balls faced (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 227 balls faced.
Sample: 227 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 81.5, 37.2 above their average of 44.3 on all balls faced (+84%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 153 balls faced.
Sample: 153 balls · low confidence
Bangladesh: average of 87.5, 43.2 above their average of 44.3 on all balls faced (+98%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 168 balls faced.
Sample: 168 balls · low confidence
Bangladesh: average of 93.5, 49.2 above their average of 44.3 on all balls faced (+111%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 189 balls faced.
Sample: 189 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

New Zealand: average of 120.8, 66.8 above their average of 53.9 on all balls bowled (+124%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 472 balls bowled.
Sample: 472 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 67.4, 13.5 above their average of 53.9 on all balls bowled (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 628 balls bowled.
Sample: 628 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Away from home: average of 43.8, 10.2 below their average of 53.9 on all balls bowled (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 534 balls bowled.
Sample: 534 balls · medium confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 48.2, 5.7 below their average of 53.9 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 490 balls bowled.
Sample: 490 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	397	408	12	34.00	102.77	42.1%	11.1%
Slow left-arm orthodox	357	275	5	55.00	77.03	51.0%	6.7%
Off break	299	293	6	48.83	97.99	39.8%	9.0%
Leg break	205	213	5	42.60	103.90	44.9%	12.2%
Right-arm fast	185	168	5	33.60	90.81	44.3%	9.7%
Left-arm fast-medium	102	89	2	44.50	87.25	45.1%	9.8%
Right-arm medium	81	104	1	104.00	128.40	35.8%	17.3%
Left-arm wrist spin	74	78	2	39.00	105.41	36.5%	10.8%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Left-handed batters	672	650	11	59.09	5.80	61.1	47.9%	10.7%
Right-handed batters	490	482	10	48.20	5.90	49.0	43.7%	9.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,042	1,000	19	52.63	5.76	54.8	45.0%	9.4%

Middle (11-40)	1,387	1,240	22	56.36	89.40	46.4%	8.9%
Death (41-50)	311	413	15	27.53	132.80	28.9%	15.8%
Powerplay (1-10)	61	29	1	29.00	47.54	67.2%	6.6%