Plans built only from the evidence.

Pace: average of 25.7, 10.5 below their average of 36.2 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 267 balls faced.

Sample: 267 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 28.7, 7.5 below their average of 36.2 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 407 balls faced.

Sample: 407 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 39, 10 below their balls per dismissal of 50 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 157 balls faced.

Sample: 157 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 25.2, 11.0 below their average of 36.2 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 203 balls faced.

Sample: 203 balls · low confidence

Batting first: average of 45.1, 9.0 above their average of 36.2 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 451 balls faced.

Sample: 451 balls · high confidence

Spin: average of 54.5, 18.3 above their average of 36.2 on all balls faced (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 278 balls faced.

Sample: 278 balls · medium confidence

Middle (11-40): average of 46.5, 10.3 above their average of 36.2 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 400 balls faced.

Sample: 400 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 94, 44 above their balls per dismissal of 50 on all balls faced (+89%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 187 balls faced.

Sample: 187 balls · low confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 46.7, 10.5 above their average of 36.2 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 173 balls faced.

Sample: 173 balls · low confidence