Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

AR Nurse, Men's ODI

Middle (11-40): average of 11.1, 7.8 below their average of 18.9 on all balls faced (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 179 balls faced.
Sample: 179 balls · low confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 68.2, 31.8 below their strike rate of 100.0 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 179 balls faced.
Sample: 179 balls · low confidence
Away from home: average of 14.4, 4.6 below their average of 18.9 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 211 balls faced.
Sample: 211 balls · low confidence

Death (41-50): average of 25.5, 6.6 above their average of 18.9 on all balls faced (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 275 balls faced.
Sample: 275 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 25.3, 6.4 above their average of 18.9 on all balls faced (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 243 balls faced.
Sample: 243 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 25.3, 6.4 above their average of 18.9 on all balls faced (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 243 balls faced.
Sample: 243 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 5.89, 0.35 above their economy of 5.54 on all balls bowled (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1351 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,351 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 55.2, 10.1 above their average of 45.2 on all balls bowled (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1351 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,351 balls · high confidence
England: average of 67.4, 22.2 above their average of 45.2 on all balls bowled (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 515 balls bowled.
Sample: 515 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 288.0, 242.8 above their average of 45.2 on all balls bowled (+537%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 251 balls bowled.
Sample: 251 balls · low confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 4.95, 0.59 below their economy of 5.54 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 802 balls bowled.
Sample: 802 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 33.1, 12.1 below their average of 45.2 on all balls bowled (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 802 balls bowled.
Sample: 802 balls · high confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 33.6, 11.5 below their average of 45.2 on all balls bowled (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 440 balls bowled.
Sample: 440 balls · medium confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	149	148	7	21.14	99.33	34.2%	9.4%
Leg break	82	94	6	15.67	114.63	56.1%	17.1%
Right-arm fast	68	75	4	18.75	110.29	32.4%	11.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	275	332	13	25.54	120.73	30.9%	13.8%
Middle (11-40)	179	122	11	11.09	68.16	62.6%	7.8%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,351	1,326	24	55.25	5.89	56.3	39.9%	8.7%
Left-handed batters	802	662	20	33.10	4.95	40.1	49.6%	7.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,901	1,724	36	47.89	5.44	52.8	43.5%	7.7%
Death (41-50)	132	158	6	26.33	7.18	22.0	31.1%	10.6%
Powerplay (1-10)	120	106	2	53.00	5.30	60.0	57.5%	12.5%