Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

AS Joseph, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Away from home: average of 11.2, 4.0 below their average of 15.2 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 289 balls faced.
Sample: 289 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 12.3, 2.9 below their average of 15.2 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 309 balls faced.
Sample: 309 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 13.5, 1.7 below their average of 15.2 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 272 balls faced.
Sample: 272 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 16, 4 below their balls per dismissal of 20 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 179 balls faced.
Sample: 179 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

At home: average of 21.0, 5.8 above their average of 15.2 on all balls faced (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 354 balls faced.
Sample: 354 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 21.0, 5.8 above their average of 15.2 on all balls faced (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 354 balls faced.
Sample: 354 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 20.6, 5.4 above their average of 15.2 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 334 balls faced.
Sample: 334 balls · medium confidence
Chasing: average of 16.9, 1.7 above their average of 15.2 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 371 balls faced.
Sample: 371 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Left-handed batters: average of 43.5, 14.5 above their average of 29.0 on all balls bowled (+50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1392 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,392 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 40.1, 8.8 above their strike rate of 31.2 on all balls bowled (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 2203 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,203 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 45.1, 16.2 above their average of 29.0 on all balls bowled (+56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 462 balls bowled.
Sample: 462 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 40.5, 11.5 above their average of 29.0 on all balls bowled (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 894 balls bowled.
Sample: 894 balls · high confidence
India: average of 42.8, 13.8 above their average of 29.0 on all balls bowled (+48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 420 balls bowled.
Sample: 420 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 36.7, 7.7 above their average of 29.0 on all balls bowled (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 342 balls bowled.
Sample: 342 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: average of 25.0, 4.0 below their average of 29.0 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2884 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,884 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 5.07, 0.50 below their economy of 5.56 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2203 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,203 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 16.7, 14.5 below their strike rate of 31.2 on all balls bowled (-46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 787 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	145	129	15	8.60	88.97	60.0%	11.7%
Off break	107	83	1	83.00	77.57	64.5%	11.2%
Leg break	100	66	5	13.20	66.00	67.0%	6.0%
Slow left-arm orthodox	85	54	4	13.50	63.53	63.5%	7.1%
Right-arm fast	62	54	1	54.00	87.10	54.8%	11.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	421	304	19	16.00	72.21	65.1%	9.3%
Death (41-50)	216	181	13	13.92

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,884	2,701	108	25.01	5.62	26.7	51.7%	10.9%
Left-handed batters	1,392	1,261	29	43.48	5.44	48.0	55.7%	11.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	2,203	1,860	55	33.82	5.07	40.1	54.9%	9.6%
Powerplay (1-10)	1,290	1,141	35	32.60	5.31	36.9	62.6%	13.0%
Death (41-50)	787	968	47	20.60	7.38	16.7	31.9%	12.3%