Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

B Kumar, Men's ODI

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 42.1, 31.7 below their strike rate of 73.9 on all balls faced (-43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 261 balls faced.
Sample: 261 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 19, 2 below their balls per dismissal of 21 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 475 balls faced.
Sample: 475 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 12.2, 3.1 below their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 261 balls faced.
Sample: 261 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 12.3, 3.0 below their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 342 balls faced.
Sample: 342 balls · medium confidence

Death (41-50): average of 16.4, 1.0 above their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 486 balls faced.
Sample: 486 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 19.6, 4.3 above their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 405 balls faced.
Sample: 405 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 22.6, 7.2 above their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 194 balls faced.
Sample: 194 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast: average of 22.4, 7.1 above their average of 15.3 on all balls faced (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 203 balls faced.
Sample: 203 balls · low confidence

Death (41-50): economy of 7.53, 2.43 above their economy of 5.10 on all balls bowled (+48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 1123 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,123 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 57.5, 22.6 above their average of 34.9 on all balls bowled (+65%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 799 balls bowled.
Sample: 799 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 40.6, 5.7 above their average of 34.9 on all balls bowled (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2294 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,294 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 58.1, 16.9 above their strike rate of 41.1 on all balls bowled (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +15%) — 3310 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,310 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 200.0, 165.1 above their average of 34.9 on all balls bowled (+472%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 360 balls bowled.
Sample: 360 balls · medium confidence

Death (41-50): strike rate of 21.6, 19.5 below their strike rate of 41.1 on all balls bowled (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 1123 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,123 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): economy of 4.36, 0.74 below their economy of 5.10 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 3310 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,310 balls · high confidence
England: average of 28.7, 6.2 below their average of 34.9 on all balls bowled (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 865 balls bowled.
Sample: 865 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 31.8, 3.1 below their average of 34.9 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 3505 balls bowled.

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	205	158	10	15.80	77.07	52.7%	7.8%
Right-arm fast	203	157	7	22.43	77.34	53.7%	8.4%
Left-arm fast-medium	86	56	8	7.00	65.12	52.3%	4.7%
Off break	81	64	4	16.00	79.01	53.1%	7.4%
Slow left-arm orthodox	66	45	1	45.00	68.18	57.6%	6.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	486	442	27	16.37	90.95	44.9%	9.7%
Middle (11-40)	261	110	9	12.22

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	3,567	3,079	90	34.21	5.18	39.6	56.8%	10.8%
Left-handed batters	2,232	1,847	51	36.22	4.97	43.8	58.4%	10.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	3,310	2,404	57	42.18	4.36	58.1	66.8%	10.2%
Middle (11-40)	1,366	1,113	32	34.78	4.89	42.7	53.7%	9.2%
Death (41-50)	1,123	1,409	52	27.10	7.53	21.6	34.4%	13.3%