Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

B Lee, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 20, 3 below their balls per dismissal of 23 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 660 balls faced.
Sample: 660 balls · high confidence
Batting first: average of 16.0, 2.8 below their average of 18.8 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 651 balls faced.
Sample: 651 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 59.5, 22.3 below their strike rate of 81.8 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 388 balls faced.
Sample: 388 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 13.6, 5.2 below their average of 18.8 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 299 balls faced.
Sample: 299 balls · medium confidence
Off break: strike rate of 56.0, 25.9 below their strike rate of 81.8 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 184 balls faced.
Sample: 184 balls · low confidence
Off break: average of 14.7, 4.1 below their average of 18.8 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 184 balls faced.
Sample: 184 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 95.1, 13.3 above their strike rate of 81.8 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 493 balls faced.
Sample: 493 balls · high confidence
Pace: average of 20.6, 1.8 above their average of 18.8 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 745 balls faced.
Sample: 745 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 22.3, 3.5 above their average of 18.8 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 493 balls faced.
Sample: 493 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 26.8, 7.9 above their average of 18.8 on all balls faced (+42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 406 balls faced.
Sample: 406 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 40, 17 above their balls per dismissal of 23 on all balls faced (+75%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 321 balls faced.
Sample: 321 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 25.7, 6.9 above their average of 18.8 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 388 balls faced.
Sample: 388 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Sri Lanka: average of 34.2, 10.4 above their average of 23.9 on all balls bowled (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1276 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,276 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): economy of 6.62, 1.85 above their economy of 4.77 on all balls bowled (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 1170 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,170 balls · high confidence
England: average of 29.8, 5.9 above their average of 23.9 on all balls bowled (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 888 balls bowled.
Sample: 888 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 25.2, 1.3 above their average of 23.9 on all balls bowled (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 5197 balls bowled.
Sample: 5,197 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 28.5, 4.6 above their average of 23.9 on all balls bowled (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 668 balls bowled.
Sample: 668 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

New Zealand: average of 18.1, 5.8 below their average of 23.9 on all balls bowled (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 757 balls bowled.
Sample: 757 balls · high confidence
India: average of 21.5, 2.4 below their average of 23.9 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 1268 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,268 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 21.4, 2.5 below their average of 23.9 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 2530 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,530 balls · high confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	493	469	21	22.33	95.13	46.5%	9.3%
Off break	184	103	7	14.71	55.98	60.9%	3.3%
Right-arm medium	108	95	3	31.67	87.96	50.0%	8.3%
Right-arm fast	96	95	6	15.83	98.96	45.8%	9.4%
Slow left-arm orthodox	87	33	4	8.25	37.93	67.8%	1.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	669	634	37	17.14	94.77	43.5%	8.4%
Middle (11-40)	388	231	9	25.67

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	5,197	4,211	167	25.22	4.86	31.1	61.1%	9.2%
Left-handed batters	2,530	1,928	90	21.42	4.57	28.1	61.9%	8.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	3,676	2,660	117	22.74	4.34	31.4	69.0%	9.0%
Middle (11-40)	2,881	2,188	82	26.68	4.56	35.1	59.5%	7.6%
Death (41-50)	1,170	1,291	58	22.26	6.62	20.2	41.7%	11.5%