Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

BA Carse, Men's ODI

Pace: average of 14.5, 3.1 below their average of 17.6 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 178 balls faced.
Sample: 178 balls · low confidence

Spin: average of 26.2, 8.6 above their average of 17.6 on all balls faced (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 151 balls faced.
Sample: 151 balls · low confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 56.6, 18.3 above their strike rate of 38.3 on all balls bowled (+48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 905 balls bowled.
Sample: 905 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 51.2, 10.8 above their average of 40.4 on all balls bowled (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 415 balls bowled.
Sample: 415 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 34.3, 6.1 below their average of 40.4 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 790 balls bowled.
Sample: 790 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 27.3, 11.0 below their strike rate of 38.3 on all balls bowled (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +15%) — 300 balls bowled.
Sample: 300 balls · low confidence
Australia: average of 34.8, 5.7 below their average of 40.4 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 258 balls bowled.
Sample: 258 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	89	67	5	13.40	75.28	50.6%	6.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	206	145	7	20.71	70.39	57.3%	6.8%
Death (41-50)	123	119	8	14.88	96.75	41.5%	8.9%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	857	931	23	40.48	6.52	37.3	50.5%	14.0%
Left-handed batters	444	444	11	40.36	6.00	40.4	55.4%	14.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	905	953	16	59.56	6.32	56.6	49.5%	12.6%
Powerplay (1-10)	300	288	11	26.18	5.76	27.3	65.0%	17.0%
Death (41-50)	96	134	7	19.14	8.38	13.7	37.5%	17.7%