Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

BJ McCarthy, Men's ODI

No batting weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

Away from home: average of 12.6, 2.6 above their average of 9.9 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 157 balls faced.
Sample: 157 balls · low confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 14.6, 4.6 above their average of 9.9 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 158 balls faced.
Sample: 158 balls · low confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 45.1, 13.1 above their strike rate of 32.0 on all balls bowled (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 722 balls bowled.
Sample: 722 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 47.2, 15.4 above their average of 31.8 on all balls bowled (+48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 627 balls bowled.
Sample: 627 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 27.0, 4.8 below their average of 31.8 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1134 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,134 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): economy of 5.16, 0.80 below their economy of 5.96 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 719 balls bowled.
Sample: 719 balls · medium confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 24.9, 6.9 below their average of 31.8 on all balls bowled (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 367 balls bowled.
Sample: 367 balls · medium confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	60	52	5	10.40	86.67	48.3%	10.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	158	102	7	14.57	64.56	57.0%	6.3%
Death (41-50)	107	67	10	6.70	62.62	57.0%	5.6%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,134	1,135	42	27.02	6.01	27.0	53.5%	13.1%
Left-handed batters	627	613	13	47.15	5.87	48.2	53.4%	12.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	722	683	16	42.69	5.68	45.1	48.5%	10.5%
Powerplay (1-10)	719	618	21	29.43	5.16	34.2	65.2%	12.9%
Death (41-50)	320	447	18	24.83	8.38	17.8	38.4%	17.5%