Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

C de Grandhomme, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 91.8, 14.3 below their strike rate of 106.2 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 478 balls faced.
Sample: 478 balls · high confidence
Spin: average of 21.8, 6.7 below their average of 28.5 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 250 balls faced.
Sample: 250 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 21.1, 7.4 below their average of 28.5 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 312 balls faced.
Sample: 312 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 23, 4 below their balls per dismissal of 27 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 391 balls faced.
Sample: 391 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 44, 17 above their balls per dismissal of 27 on all balls faced (+62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 262 balls faced.
Sample: 262 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 33.5, 4.9 above their average of 28.5 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 449 balls faced.
Sample: 449 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 37.2, 8.6 above their average of 28.5 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 387 balls faced.
Sample: 387 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 37.2, 8.6 above their average of 28.5 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 387 balls faced.
Sample: 387 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 65.3, 36.8 above their average of 28.5 on all balls faced (+129%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 184 balls faced.
Sample: 184 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 126.0, 19.8 above their strike rate of 106.2 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 154 balls faced.
Sample: 154 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Left-handed batters: average of 56.5, 14.6 above their average of 41.9 on all balls bowled (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 586 balls bowled.
Sample: 586 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 49.2, 7.3 above their average of 41.9 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 714 balls bowled.
Sample: 714 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: average of 36.4, 5.6 below their average of 41.9 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 938 balls bowled.
Sample: 938 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 36.8, 5.2 below their average of 41.9 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 810 balls bowled.
Sample: 810 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 36.8, 5.2 below their average of 41.9 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 810 balls bowled.
Sample: 810 balls · high confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	154	194	8	24.25	125.97	40.9%	16.2%
Right-arm fast	148	106	2	53.00	71.62	54.7%	6.1%
Leg break	134	138	7	19.71	102.99	45.5%	11.9%
Left-arm fast-medium	81	114	1	114.00	140.74	37.0%	19.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	478	439	14	31.36	91.84	52.7%	10.5%
Death (41-50)	221	303	12	25.25	137.10	29.9%	17.2%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	938	764	21	36.38	4.89	44.7	51.0%	8.0%
Left-handed batters	586	452	8	56.50	4.63	73.3	54.8%	7.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,404	1,090	27	40.37	4.66	52.0	52.7%	7.4%