Plans built only from the evidence.

Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 100.8, 40.6 above their strike rate of 60.2 on all balls bowled (+67%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +15%) — 504 balls bowled.

Sample: 504 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 54.7, 12.6 above their average of 42.1 on all balls bowled (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 530 balls bowled.

Sample: 530 balls · medium confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 78.5, 36.4 above their average of 42.1 on all balls bowled (+86%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 282 balls bowled.

Sample: 282 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 104.5, 62.4 above their average of 42.1 on all balls bowled (+148%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 270 balls bowled.

Sample: 270 balls · low confidence

Death (41-50): economy of 6.94, 2.74 above their economy of 4.20 on all balls bowled (+65%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 242 balls bowled.

Sample: 242 balls · low confidence

South Africa: average of 67.8, 25.6 above their average of 42.1 on all balls bowled (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 312 balls bowled.

Sample: 312 balls · low confidence

Middle (11-40): economy of 3.69, 0.51 below their economy of 4.20 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1060 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,060 balls · high confidence

Pakistan: average of 19.3, 22.9 below their average of 42.1 on all balls bowled (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 372 balls bowled.

Sample: 372 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 38.3, 3.8 below their average of 42.1 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1276 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,276 balls · high confidence