Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

CE Dean, Women's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 59.8, 10.5 below their strike rate of 70.3 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 535 balls faced.
Sample: 535 balls · high confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 26, 8 below their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 370 balls faced.
Sample: 370 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 18.8, 5.6 below their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 436 balls faced.
Sample: 436 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 19.7, 4.6 below their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 331 balls faced.
Sample: 331 balls · medium confidence
Death (41-50): average of 17.1, 7.2 below their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 262 balls faced.
Sample: 262 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm medium: average of 20.3, 4.1 below their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 186 balls faced.
Sample: 186 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Middle (11-40): average of 35.6, 11.2 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 535 balls faced.
Sample: 535 balls · high confidence
Spin: average of 28.6, 4.2 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 466 balls faced.
Sample: 466 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 40.2, 15.8 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+65%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 361 balls faced.
Sample: 361 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 46, 12 above their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 279 balls faced.
Sample: 279 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 29.4, 5.1 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 239 balls faced.
Sample: 239 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 74.0, 49.7 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+204%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 173 balls faced.
Sample: 173 balls · low confidence
Off break: strike rate of 81.2, 11.0 above their strike rate of 70.3 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 181 balls faced.
Sample: 181 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Left-handed batters: average of 33.5, 9.8 above their average of 23.7 on all balls bowled (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 786 balls bowled.
Sample: 786 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 54.4, 30.7 above their average of 23.7 on all balls bowled (+130%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +24%) — 287 balls bowled.
Sample: 287 balls · low confidence
India: average of 38.2, 14.5 above their average of 23.7 on all balls bowled (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 280 balls bowled.
Sample: 280 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: average of 21.2, 2.5 below their average of 23.7 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1920 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,920 balls · high confidence
England: average of 21.5, 2.2 below their average of 23.7 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +10%) — 1355 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,355 balls · high confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm medium	186	142	7	20.29	76.34	52.2%	7.0%
Off break	181	147	7	21.00	81.22	49.2%	7.2%
Slow left-arm orthodox	179	136	0	–	75.98	53.1%	7.8%
Right-arm fast-medium	117	63	3	21.00	53.85	57.3%	2.6%
Leg break	106	60	5	12.00	56.60	54.7%	1.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	535	320	9	35.56	59.81	59.8%	4.5%
Death (41-50)	262	240	14	17.14

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,920	1,505	71	21.20	4.70	27.0	55.6%	7.9%
Left-handed batters	786	603	18	33.50	4.60	43.7	56.6%	7.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	2,430	1,896	73	25.97	4.68	33.3	55.7%	7.7%
Death (41-50)	180	142	11	12.91	4.73	16.4	54.4%	8.3%
Powerplay (1-10)	96	70	5	14.00	4.38	19.2	63.5%	11.5%