Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

CL Tryon, Women's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 83.4, 25.2 below their strike rate of 108.6 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1160 balls faced.
Sample: 1,160 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 24.2, 6.5 below their average of 30.7 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 694 balls faced.
Sample: 694 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 24, 4 below their balls per dismissal of 28 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 659 balls faced.
Sample: 659 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 26.8, 3.8 below their average of 30.7 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +10%) — 541 balls faced.
Sample: 541 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 26.8, 3.8 below their average of 30.7 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 541 balls faced.
Sample: 541 balls · high confidence
Leg break: strike rate of 94.8, 13.8 below their strike rate of 108.6 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 271 balls faced.
Sample: 271 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 23.6, 7.1 below their average of 30.7 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 234 balls faced.
Sample: 234 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Batting first: average of 35.9, 5.2 above their average of 30.7 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1141 balls faced.
Sample: 1,141 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 157.2, 48.6 above their strike rate of 108.6 on all balls faced (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +24%) — 635 balls faced.
Sample: 635 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 33.2, 2.5 above their average of 30.7 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1158 balls faced.
Sample: 1,158 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 127.1, 18.5 above their strike rate of 108.6 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 284 balls faced.
Sample: 284 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 36, 8 above their balls per dismissal of 28 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 983 balls faced.
Sample: 983 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 45.1, 14.5 above their average of 30.7 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 284 balls faced.
Sample: 284 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 61.8, 31.1 above their average of 30.7 on all balls faced (+102%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 280 balls faced.
Sample: 280 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 45.0, 14.3 above their average of 30.7 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 319 balls faced.
Sample: 319 balls · medium confidence
Leg break: average of 42.8, 12.2 above their average of 30.7 on all balls faced (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 271 balls faced.
Sample: 271 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: average of 52.9, 6.2 above their average of 46.7 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 2237 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,237 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 54.0, 7.3 above their average of 46.7 on all balls bowled (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1743 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,743 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 72.3, 13.8 above their strike rate of 58.5 on all balls bowled (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 2314 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,314 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 82.5, 35.8 above their average of 46.7 on all balls bowled (+77%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 576 balls bowled.
Sample: 576 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 5.41, 0.62 above their economy of 4.79 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 438 balls bowled.
Sample: 438 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

South Africa: average of 31.8, 14.9 below their average of 46.7 on all balls bowled (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 751 balls bowled.
Sample: 751 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 31.8, 14.9 below their average of 46.7 on all balls bowled (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 751 balls bowled.
Sample: 751 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 35.9, 10.8 below their average of 46.7 on all balls bowled (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 438 balls bowled.
Sample: 438 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	496	533	19	28.05	107.46	44.6%	12.9%
Right-arm medium	342	404	15	26.93	118.13	43.0%	16.7%
Slow left-arm orthodox	342	342	13	26.31	100.00	50.6%	13.5%
Right-arm fast-medium	284	361	8	45.13	127.11	39.4%	17.3%
Leg break	271	257	6	42.83	94.83	50.2%	10.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,160	967	32	30.22	83.36	52.2%	9.9%
Death (41-50)	635	998	33	30.24

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,237	1,745	33	52.88	4.68	67.8	54.4%	7.5%
Left-handed batters	438	395	11	35.91	5.41	39.8	52.1%	11.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	2,314	1,816	32	56.75	4.71	72.3	54.2%	7.7%
Death (41-50)	240	236	11	21.45	5.90	21.8	45.8%	10.8%
Powerplay (1-10)	138	96	3	32.00	4.17	46.0	66.7%	8.7%