Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

CO Obuya, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Pace: average of 19.6, 7.7 below their average of 27.3 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 482 balls faced.
Sample: 482 balls · high confidence
Batting first: average of 22.6, 4.7 below their average of 27.3 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 459 balls faced.
Sample: 459 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 14.9, 12.4 below their average of 27.3 on all balls faced (-45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 268 balls faced.
Sample: 268 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 66.8, 5.0 below their strike rate of 71.8 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 268 balls faced.
Sample: 268 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Spin: average of 40.0, 12.7 above their average of 27.3 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 543 balls faced.
Sample: 543 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 32.3, 5.0 above their average of 27.3 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 567 balls faced.
Sample: 567 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 29.7, 2.4 above their average of 27.3 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 612 balls faced.
Sample: 612 balls · high confidence
Off break: strike rate of 81.0, 9.1 above their strike rate of 71.8 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 252 balls faced.
Sample: 252 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 51.0, 23.7 above their average of 27.3 on all balls faced (+87%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 252 balls faced.
Sample: 252 balls · medium confidence
Powerplay (1-10): average of 106.0, 78.7 above their average of 27.3 on all balls faced (+288%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 152 balls faced.
Sample: 152 balls · low confidence
India: average of 72.0, 44.7 above their average of 27.3 on all balls faced (+164%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 189 balls faced.
Sample: 189 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 49.5, 22.2 above their average of 27.3 on all balls faced (+81%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 158 balls faced.
Sample: 158 balls · low confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 45.3, 18.0 above their average of 27.3 on all balls faced (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 205 balls faced.
Sample: 205 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Away from home: average of 41.5, 9.0 above their average of 32.5 on all balls bowled (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 627 balls bowled.
Sample: 627 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 46.2, 13.7 above their average of 32.5 on all balls bowled (+42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 268 balls bowled.
Sample: 268 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 37.2, 2.4 below their strike rate of 39.6 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 706 balls bowled.
Sample: 706 balls · medium confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 28.2, 4.3 below their average of 32.5 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 563 balls bowled.
Sample: 563 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 4.57, 0.36 below their economy of 4.93 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 706 balls bowled.
Sample: 706 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	268	179	12	14.92	66.79	57.1%	6.0%
Off break	252	204	4	51.00	80.95	54.4%	7.9%
Slow left-arm orthodox	205	136	3	45.33	66.34	55.6%	4.9%
Right-arm medium	105	91	3	30.33	86.67	54.3%	12.4%
Leg break	86	60	3	20.00	69.77	59.3%	5.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	738	503	19	26.47	68.16	57.3%	6.0%
Powerplay (1-10)	152	106	1	106.00

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	563	452	16	28.25	4.82	35.2	51.2%	6.7%
Left-handed batters	268	231	5	46.20	5.17	53.6	53.7%	8.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	706	538	19	28.32	4.57	37.2	54.8%	6.4%
Death (41-50)	125	145	2	72.50	6.96	62.5	36.0%	12.0%