Plans built only from the evidence.

Off break: strike rate of 81.1, 15.9 below their strike rate of 97.0 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 995 balls faced.

Sample: 995 balls · high confidence

England: average of 33.3, 11.8 below their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 978 balls faced.

Sample: 978 balls · high confidence

Off break: average of 36.7, 8.4 below their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 995 balls faced.

Sample: 995 balls · high confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 86.6, 10.4 below their strike rate of 97.0 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 677 balls faced.

Sample: 677 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 34.3, 10.7 below their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 940 balls faced.

Sample: 940 balls · high confidence

Chasing: average of 38.3, 6.8 below their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 2421 balls faced.

Sample: 2,421 balls · high confidence

United Arab Emirates: average of 29.7, 15.4 below their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 265 balls faced.

Sample: 265 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm medium: strike rate of 87.6, 9.4 below their strike rate of 97.0 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 404 balls faced.

Sample: 404 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: average of 36.6, 8.4 below their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 677 balls faced.

Sample: 677 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 29.9, 15.2 below their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 361 balls faced.

Sample: 361 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 36.3, 8.7 below their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 254 balls faced.

Sample: 254 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 110.3, 13.3 above their strike rate of 97.0 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1200 balls faced.

Sample: 1,200 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 80.9, 35.8 above their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (+80%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 694 balls faced.

Sample: 694 balls · high confidence

Middle (11-40): average of 56.3, 11.3 above their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 3376 balls faced.

Sample: 3,376 balls · high confidence

Pakistan: average of 59.9, 14.9 above their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 848 balls faced.

Sample: 848 balls · high confidence

Batting first: average of 50.0, 4.9 above their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 4407 balls faced.

Sample: 4,407 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 129.5, 84.4 above their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (+187%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 252 balls faced.

Sample: 252 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 50.9, 5.9 above their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1236 balls faced.

Sample: 1,236 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 47.3, 2.2 above their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (+5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1200 balls faced.

Sample: 1,200 balls · high confidence

India: average of 52.0, 6.9 above their average of 45.1 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1015 balls faced.

Sample: 1,015 balls · high confidence