Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 48.7, 5.5 below their strike rate of 54.3 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 398 balls faced.

Sample: 398 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 19.8, 2.4 below their average of 22.2 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 453 balls faced.

Sample: 453 balls · high confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 20.6, 1.6 below their average of 22.2 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 388 balls faced.

Sample: 388 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 20.6, 1.6 below their average of 22.2 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 388 balls faced.

Sample: 388 balls · medium confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 31, 10 below their balls per dismissal of 41 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 278 balls faced.

Sample: 278 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 11.3, 10.9 below their average of 22.2 on all balls faced (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 152 balls faced.

Sample: 152 balls · low confidence

England: average of 13.5, 8.7 below their average of 22.2 on all balls faced (-39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 174 balls faced.

Sample: 174 balls · low confidence

Powerplay (1-10): average of 14.8, 7.4 below their average of 22.2 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 187 balls faced.

Sample: 187 balls · low confidence

Pakistan: average of 48.0, 25.8 above their average of 22.2 on all balls faced (+116%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 235 balls faced.

Sample: 235 balls · medium confidence

Batting first: average of 24.8, 2.6 above their average of 22.2 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 570 balls faced.

Sample: 570 balls · high confidence

Middle (11-40): average of 26.2, 4.0 above their average of 22.2 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 732 balls faced.

Sample: 732 balls · high confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 51, 10 above their balls per dismissal of 41 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 357 balls faced.

Sample: 357 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 124.0, 101.8 above their average of 22.2 on all balls faced (+459%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 205 balls faced.

Sample: 205 balls · low confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 30.3, 8.1 above their average of 22.2 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 216 balls faced.

Sample: 216 balls · low confidence