Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

DJG Sammy, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 79.3, 20.5 below their strike rate of 99.8 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1185 balls faced.
Sample: 1,185 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 24.1, 1.3 below their average of 25.4 on all balls faced (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 1185 balls faced.
Sample: 1,185 balls · high confidence
Off break: strike rate of 78.5, 21.3 below their strike rate of 99.8 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 382 balls faced.
Sample: 382 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 23, 2 below their balls per dismissal of 25 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 647 balls faced.
Sample: 647 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 17.3, 8.1 below their average of 25.4 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 288 balls faced.
Sample: 288 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 78.1, 21.7 below their strike rate of 99.8 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 288 balls faced.
Sample: 288 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 115.1, 15.4 above their strike rate of 99.8 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 515 balls faced.
Sample: 515 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 27.3, 1.9 above their average of 25.4 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 352 balls faced.
Sample: 352 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Left-handed batters: economy of 5.11, 0.42 above their economy of 4.69 on all balls bowled (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1345 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,345 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 226.7, 177.6 above their average of 49.0 on all balls bowled (+362%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 672 balls bowled.
Sample: 672 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 265.0, 216.0 above their average of 49.0 on all balls bowled (+440%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 378 balls bowled.
Sample: 378 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 135.8, 86.7 above their average of 49.0 on all balls bowled (+177%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 594 balls bowled.
Sample: 594 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 79.0, 30.0 above their average of 49.0 on all balls bowled (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 492 balls bowled.
Sample: 492 balls · medium confidence
Death (41-50): economy of 6.78, 2.09 above their economy of 4.69 on all balls bowled (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 376 balls bowled.
Sample: 376 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Australia: average of 30.4, 18.6 below their average of 49.0 on all balls bowled (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 719 balls bowled.
Sample: 719 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 25.3, 23.8 below their average of 49.0 on all balls bowled (-48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 527 balls bowled.
Sample: 527 balls · medium confidence
Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 49.8, 12.9 below their strike rate of 62.8 on all balls bowled (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +15%) — 648 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	515	593	25	23.72	115.15	44.9%	14.8%
Off break	382	300	9	33.33	78.53	56.3%	8.6%
Slow left-arm orthodox	288	225	13	17.31	78.13	58.7%	9.0%
Right-arm fast	195	202	9	22.44	103.59	51.3%	14.4%
Right-arm medium	126	166	4	41.50	131.75	40.5%	16.7%
Left-arm fast	121	137	5	27.40	113.22	46.3%	13.2%
Leg break	115	112	2	56.00	97.39	47.8%	9.6%
Left-arm fast-medium	113	117	6	19.50	103.54	53.1%	15.0%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	3,487	2,630	56	46.96	4.53	62.3	52.9%	6.5%
Left-handed batters	1,345	1,146	21	54.57	5.11	64.0	48.8%	8.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	3,808	2,914	51	57.14	4.59	74.7	51.3%	6.5%
Powerplay (1-10)	648	437	13	33.62	4.05	49.8	66.4%	8.2%
Death (41-50)	376	425	13	32.69	6.78	28.9	31.6%	9.0%

Middle (11-40)	1,185	940	39	24.10	79.32	57.0%	9.2%
Death (41-50)	662	893	34	26.26	134.89	39.1%	17.5%