Plans built only from the evidence.

Death (41-50): average of 22.1, 13.0 below their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 712 balls faced.

Sample: 712 balls · high confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 71.7, 9.0 below their strike rate of 80.7 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1076 balls faced.

Sample: 1,076 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 29.3, 5.8 below their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 1311 balls faced.

Sample: 1,311 balls · high confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: average of 26.6, 8.5 below their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1076 balls faced.

Sample: 1,076 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 27.0, 8.1 below their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 663 balls faced.

Sample: 663 balls · high confidence

Spin: average of 32.7, 2.4 below their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 3719 balls faced.

Sample: 3,719 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 32.7, 2.4 below their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 3413 balls faced.

Sample: 3,413 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 19.5, 15.5 below their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 268 balls faced.

Sample: 268 balls · medium confidence

Leg break: average of 28.2, 6.8 below their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 445 balls faced.

Sample: 445 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 28.7, 6.4 below their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 325 balls faced.

Sample: 325 balls · medium confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 11.4, 23.7 below their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (-68%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 167 balls faced.

Sample: 167 balls · low confidence

Left-arm wrist spin: average of 25.2, 9.9 below their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 198 balls faced.

Sample: 198 balls · low confidence

England: average of 58.2, 23.1 above their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 992 balls faced.

Sample: 992 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 55.8, 20.8 above their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (+59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 877 balls faced.

Sample: 877 balls · high confidence

Off break: strike rate of 88.0, 7.2 above their strike rate of 80.7 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1765 balls faced.

Sample: 1,765 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 46.0, 10.9 above their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 992 balls faced.

Sample: 992 balls · high confidence

Death (41-50): strike rate of 121.2, 40.5 above their strike rate of 80.7 on all balls faced (+50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +25%) — 712 balls faced.

Sample: 712 balls · high confidence

England: average of 43.4, 8.3 above their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1356 balls faced.

Sample: 1,356 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 45.2, 10.1 above their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 584 balls faced.

Sample: 584 balls · high confidence

India: average of 41.6, 6.5 above their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1082 balls faced.

Sample: 1,082 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 36.6, 1.5 above their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (+4%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 6265 balls faced.

Sample: 6,265 balls · high confidence

Left-arm fast: average of 39.6, 4.5 above their average of 35.1 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 261 balls faced.