Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

DS Lehmann, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Spin: average of 28.3, 14.6 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 382 balls faced.
Sample: 382 balls · medium confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 29, 24 below their balls per dismissal of 53 on all balls faced (-45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 294 balls faced.
Sample: 294 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 37.4, 5.5 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 245 balls faced.
Sample: 245 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 30.8, 12.1 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 212 balls faced.
Sample: 212 balls · low confidence
South Africa: average of 27.8, 15.1 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 185 balls faced.
Sample: 185 balls · low confidence
Australia: average of 30.8, 12.1 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 212 balls faced.
Sample: 212 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 67.3, 24.4 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 472 balls faced.
Sample: 472 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 48.5, 5.5 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 642 balls faced.
Sample: 642 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 311, 258 above their balls per dismissal of 53 on all balls faced (+483%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 311 balls faced.
Sample: 311 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 68.3, 25.4 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 248 balls faced.
Sample: 248 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 59.2, 16.3 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 322 balls faced.
Sample: 322 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 91.9, 11.5 above their strike rate of 80.4 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 322 balls faced.
Sample: 322 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 42.2, 14.3 above their strike rate of 27.9 on all balls bowled (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 506 balls bowled.
Sample: 506 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: average of 18.6, 4.6 below their average of 23.2 on all balls bowled (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 446 balls bowled.
Sample: 446 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	322	296	5	59.20	91.93	46.9%	9.6%
Off break	245	187	5	37.40	76.33	48.2%	5.3%
Slow left-arm orthodox	77	44	3	14.67	57.14	54.5%	2.6%
Right-arm fast	69	39	0	–	56.52	62.3%	5.8%
Right-arm medium	67	59	0	–	88.06	41.8%	7.5%
Leg break	60	52	2	26.00	86.67	45.0%	8.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	671	493	10	49.30	73.47

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	446	353	19	18.58	4.75	23.5	47.5%	5.4%
Left-handed batters	139	134	2	67.00	5.78	69.5	32.4%	5.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	506	413	12	34.42	4.90	42.2	41.9%	4.7%