Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

EA Perry, Women's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 50, 25 below their balls per dismissal of 75 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 1740 balls faced.
Sample: 1,740 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): average of 38.9, 21.4 below their average of 60.3 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 658 balls faced.
Sample: 658 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 39.8, 20.5 below their average of 60.3 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 777 balls faced.
Sample: 777 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 66.5, 13.9 below their strike rate of 80.4 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 777 balls faced.
Sample: 777 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 45.2, 15.1 below their average of 60.3 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 545 balls faced.
Sample: 545 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): average of 43.6, 16.7 below their average of 60.3 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 573 balls faced.
Sample: 573 balls · high confidence
Batting first: average of 52.6, 7.7 below their average of 60.3 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2624 balls faced.
Sample: 2,624 balls · high confidence
Right-arm medium: strike rate of 76.5, 3.9 below their strike rate of 80.4 on all balls faced (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1112 balls faced.
Sample: 1,112 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 60.9, 19.5 below their strike rate of 80.4 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 573 balls faced.
Sample: 573 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 47.4, 12.9 below their average of 60.3 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 934 balls faced.
Sample: 934 balls · high confidence
Pakistan: average of 25.8, 34.5 below their average of 60.3 on all balls faced (-57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 266 balls faced.
Sample: 266 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 152, 77 above their balls per dismissal of 75 on all balls faced (+103%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1672 balls faced.
Sample: 1,672 balls · high confidence
Leg break: average of 129.0, 68.7 above their average of 60.3 on all balls faced (+114%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 590 balls faced.
Sample: 590 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 99.0, 38.7 above their average of 60.3 on all balls faced (+64%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 595 balls faced.
Sample: 595 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 75.0, 14.7 above their average of 60.3 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 2177 balls faced.
Sample: 2,177 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 75.9, 15.6 above their average of 60.3 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 3570 balls faced.
Sample: 3,570 balls · high confidence
Off break: strike rate of 88.3, 7.9 above their strike rate of 80.4 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1119 balls faced.
Sample: 1,119 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 118.2, 37.8 above their strike rate of 80.4 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +24%) — 658 balls faced.
Sample: 658 balls · high confidence
Leg break: strike rate of 87.5, 7.1 above their strike rate of 80.4 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 590 balls faced.
Sample: 590 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 57.4, 17.3 above their strike rate of 40.1 on all balls bowled (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 1321 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,321 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 35.6, 4.5 below their strike rate of 40.1 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 1426 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,426 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 4.14, 0.36 below their economy of 4.51 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1321 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,321 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 27.6, 2.6 below their average of 30.1 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 2581 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,581 balls · high confidence
England: average of 27.9, 2.3 below their average of 30.1 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +10%) — 894 balls bowled.
Sample: 894 balls · high confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	1,119	988	16	61.75	88.29	45.3%	8.5%
Right-arm medium	1,112	851	13	65.46	76.53	52.1%	8.0%
Right-arm fast-medium	934	758	16	47.38	81.16	52.2%	9.6%
Slow left-arm orthodox	777	517	13	39.77	66.54	58.2%	7.1%
Leg break	590	516	4	129.00	87.46	46.4%	8.6%
Left-arm medium	170	126	1	126.00	74.12	47.1%	5.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	3,570	2,733	36	75.92

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,581	1,876	68	27.59	4.36	38.0	61.9%	8.4%
Left-handed batters	510	445	9	49.44	5.24	56.7	61.0%	9.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	1,426	1,052	40	26.30	4.43	35.6	68.0%	10.1%
Middle (11-40)	1,321	912	23	39.65	4.14	57.4	60.0%	6.1%
Death (41-50)	344	357	14	25.50	6.23	24.6	42.7%	11.3%