Plans built only from the evidence.

Spin: average of 21.2, 4.6 below their average of 25.8 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 251 balls faced.

Sample: 251 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 11.2, 14.6 below their average of 25.8 on all balls faced (-57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 171 balls faced.

Sample: 171 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 68.1, 17.1 below their strike rate of 85.1 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 216 balls faced.

Sample: 216 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 18.4, 7.4 below their average of 25.8 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 216 balls faced.

Sample: 216 balls · low confidence

England: average of 43.3, 17.5 above their average of 25.8 on all balls faced (+68%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 521 balls faced.

Sample: 521 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 40.2, 14.5 above their average of 25.8 on all balls faced (+56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 529 balls faced.

Sample: 529 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 78.0, 52.2 above their average of 25.8 on all balls faced (+203%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 228 balls faced.

Sample: 228 balls · medium confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 98.6, 13.5 above their strike rate of 85.1 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 293 balls faced.

Sample: 293 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 31.6, 5.9 above their average of 25.8 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 317 balls faced.

Sample: 317 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm medium: average of 51.5, 25.8 above their average of 25.8 on all balls faced (+100%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 216 balls faced.

Sample: 216 balls · low confidence

Right-arm medium: strike rate of 95.4, 10.2 above their strike rate of 85.1 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 216 balls faced.

Sample: 216 balls · low confidence