Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-handed batters: average of 24.4, 3.4 above their average of 21.0 on all balls bowled (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2241 balls bowled.

Sample: 2,241 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 23.2, 2.2 above their average of 21.0 on all balls bowled (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1027 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,027 balls · high confidence

Death (41-50): economy of 6.01, 2.17 above their economy of 3.85 on all balls bowled (+56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 421 balls bowled.

Sample: 421 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 27.2, 6.2 above their average of 21.0 on all balls bowled (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 364 balls bowled.

Sample: 364 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 15.4, 5.6 below their average of 21.0 on all balls bowled (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 972 balls bowled.

Sample: 972 balls · high confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 3.52, 0.33 below their economy of 3.85 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 972 balls bowled.

Sample: 972 balls · high confidence

Powerplay (1-10): economy of 3.29, 0.56 below their economy of 3.85 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1500 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,500 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 14.5, 6.5 below their average of 21.0 on all balls bowled (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 450 balls bowled.

Sample: 450 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 15.6, 5.5 below their average of 21.0 on all balls bowled (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 569 balls bowled.

Sample: 569 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 15.8, 5.2 below their average of 21.0 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 264 balls bowled.

Sample: 264 balls · low confidence