Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Gulsan Jha, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 24, 13 below their balls per dismissal of 36 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 521 balls faced.
Sample: 521 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 70.6, 14.8 below their strike rate of 85.4 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 851 balls faced.
Sample: 851 balls · high confidence
Batting first: average of 26.3, 4.9 below their average of 31.2 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 620 balls faced.
Sample: 620 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 20.0, 11.2 below their average of 31.2 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 408 balls faced.
Sample: 408 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 20.5, 10.7 below their average of 31.2 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 337 balls faced.
Sample: 337 balls · medium confidence
Off break: strike rate of 73.0, 12.4 below their strike rate of 85.4 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 337 balls faced.
Sample: 337 balls · medium confidence
Death (41-50): average of 23.5, 7.7 below their average of 31.2 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 359 balls faced.
Sample: 359 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 78, 41 above their balls per dismissal of 36 on all balls faced (+113%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 621 balls faced.
Sample: 621 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 39.1, 7.9 above their average of 31.2 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 621 balls faced.
Sample: 621 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 40.1, 8.9 above their average of 31.2 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 851 balls faced.
Sample: 851 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 50.5, 19.3 above their average of 31.2 on all balls faced (+62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 449 balls faced.
Sample: 449 balls · medium confidence
Nepal: average of 50.5, 19.3 above their average of 31.2 on all balls faced (+62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 449 balls faced.
Sample: 449 balls · medium confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 46.0, 14.8 above their average of 31.2 on all balls faced (+48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 366 balls faced.
Sample: 366 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 103.5, 72.3 above their average of 31.2 on all balls faced (+232%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 207 balls faced.
Sample: 207 balls · low confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 100.0, 14.6 above their strike rate of 85.4 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 207 balls faced.
Sample: 207 balls · low confidence
Scotland: average of 47.5, 16.3 above their average of 31.2 on all balls faced (+52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 182 balls faced.
Sample: 182 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Away from home: average of 40.5, 5.9 above their average of 34.6 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 495 balls bowled.
Sample: 495 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 69.2, 34.6 above their average of 34.6 on all balls bowled (+100%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 255 balls bowled.
Sample: 255 balls · low confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 6.52, 0.59 above their economy of 5.93 on all balls bowled (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 255 balls bowled.
Sample: 255 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: average of 30.6, 4.0 below their average of 34.6 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1065 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,065 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 5.41, 0.51 below their economy of 5.93 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1015 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,015 balls · high confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	337	246	12	20.50	73.00	61.7%	8.6%
Right-arm fast-medium	302	256	9	28.44	84.77	52.0%	9.9%
Slow left-arm orthodox	207	207	2	103.50	100.00	55.1%	12.6%
Right-arm medium	83	73	4	18.25	87.95	50.6%	9.6%
Left-arm fast-medium	80	76	3	25.33	95.00	50.0%	10.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	851	601	15	40.07	70.62	61.5%	8.0%
Death (41-50)	359	446	19	23.47

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,065	1,040	34	30.59	5.86	31.3	52.5%	11.5%
Left-handed batters	255	277	4	69.25	6.52	63.8	45.1%	12.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,015	916	26	35.23	5.41	39.0	52.4%	10.0%
Death (41-50)	194	263	7	37.57	8.13	27.7	34.5%	15.5%
Powerplay (1-10)	192	205	7	29.29	6.41	27.4	63.0%	16.7%