Plans built only from the evidence.

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 35.6, 8.6 above their strike rate of 27.0 on all balls bowled (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 499 balls bowled.

Sample: 499 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 26.9, 2.0 above their average of 24.8 on all balls bowled (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 535 balls bowled.

Sample: 535 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 21.9, 2.9 below their average of 24.8 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 725 balls bowled.

Sample: 725 balls · high confidence

Middle (11-40): economy of 4.71, 0.80 below their economy of 5.52 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 499 balls bowled.

Sample: 499 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 21.8, 3.1 below their average of 24.8 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 357 balls bowled.

Sample: 357 balls · low confidence

Pakistan: average of 20.9, 3.9 below their average of 24.8 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 247 balls bowled.

Sample: 247 balls · low confidence