Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 50.2, 10.4 below their strike rate of 60.6 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 241 balls faced.

Sample: 241 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 24.2, 6.0 below their average of 30.2 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 241 balls faced.

Sample: 241 balls · medium confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 27, 22 below their balls per dismissal of 50 on all balls faced (-45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 164 balls faced.

Sample: 164 balls · low confidence

Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 39.2, 21.3 below their strike rate of 60.6 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 158 balls faced.

Sample: 158 balls · low confidence

Batting first: average of 39.4, 9.2 above their average of 30.2 on all balls faced (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 428 balls faced.

Sample: 428 balls · medium confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 67.0, 6.4 above their strike rate of 60.6 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 351 balls faced.

Sample: 351 balls · medium confidence

South Africa: average of 38.8, 8.6 above their average of 30.2 on all balls faced (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 258 balls faced.

Sample: 258 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 185, 135 above their balls per dismissal of 50 on all balls faced (+271%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 185 balls faced.

Sample: 185 balls · low confidence