Plans built only from the evidence.

Batting first: average of 26.6, 2.7 below their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 795 balls faced.

Sample: 795 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 53.4, 13.7 below their strike rate of 67.1 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 253 balls faced.

Sample: 253 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 59.9, 7.1 below their strike rate of 67.1 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 247 balls faced.

Sample: 247 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 16.8, 12.5 below their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (-43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 173 balls faced.

Sample: 173 balls · low confidence

Off break: average of 23.4, 5.9 below their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 209 balls faced.

Sample: 209 balls · low confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 75.0, 7.9 above their strike rate of 67.1 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 856 balls faced.

Sample: 856 balls · high confidence

Powerplay (1-10): average of 30.9, 1.6 above their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (+5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 948 balls faced.

Sample: 948 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 44.2, 14.9 above their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 288 balls faced.

Sample: 288 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 31.8, 2.4 above their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1042 balls faced.

Sample: 1,042 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 41.1, 11.8 above their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 353 balls faced.

Sample: 353 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: average of 37.0, 7.7 above their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 247 balls faced.

Sample: 247 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 36.0, 6.7 above their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 251 balls faced.

Sample: 251 balls · medium confidence

South Africa: average of 53.0, 23.7 above their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (+81%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 174 balls faced.

Sample: 174 balls · low confidence

Off break: strike rate of 78.5, 11.4 above their strike rate of 67.1 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 209 balls faced.

Sample: 209 balls · low confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 56.0, 26.7 above their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (+91%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 153 balls faced.

Sample: 153 balls · low confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 56.0, 26.7 above their average of 29.3 on all balls faced (+91%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 153 balls faced.

Sample: 153 balls · low confidence