Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

J Nkomo, Women's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Spin: average of 27.2, 13.6 below their average of 40.8 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 591 balls faced.
Sample: 591 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 57.9, 8.2 below their strike rate of 66.2 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 777 balls faced.
Sample: 777 balls · high confidence
Batting first: average of 28.0, 12.8 below their average of 40.8 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 313 balls faced.
Sample: 313 balls · medium confidence
Off break: strike rate of 56.2, 9.9 below their strike rate of 66.2 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 313 balls faced.
Sample: 313 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 46, 16 below their balls per dismissal of 62 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 273 balls faced.
Sample: 273 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 29.3, 11.5 below their average of 40.8 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 313 balls faced.
Sample: 313 balls · medium confidence
Leg break: strike rate of 52.5, 13.6 below their strike rate of 66.2 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 219 balls faced.
Sample: 219 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Chasing: average of 50.8, 10.0 above their average of 40.8 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 674 balls faced.
Sample: 674 balls · high confidence
Pace: average of 94.3, 53.5 above their average of 40.8 on all balls faced (+131%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 329 balls faced.
Sample: 329 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 84, 22 above their balls per dismissal of 62 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 335 balls faced.
Sample: 335 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm medium: average of 184.0, 143.2 above their average of 40.8 on all balls faced (+351%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 215 balls faced.
Sample: 215 balls · low confidence
Right-arm medium: strike rate of 85.6, 19.4 above their strike rate of 66.2 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 215 balls faced.
Sample: 215 balls · low confidence
West Indies: average of 57.0, 16.2 above their average of 40.8 on all balls faced (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 189 balls faced.
Sample: 189 balls · low confidence
Leg break: average of 57.5, 16.7 above their average of 40.8 on all balls faced (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 219 balls faced.
Sample: 219 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 59.0, 26.1 above their strike rate of 32.9 on all balls bowled (+79%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 354 balls bowled.
Sample: 354 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: average of 19.4, 1.6 below their average of 21.0 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 581 balls bowled.
Sample: 581 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 27.3, 5.6 below their strike rate of 32.9 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 246 balls bowled.
Sample: 246 balls · low confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 3.15, 0.67 below their economy of 3.82 on all balls bowled (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 246 balls bowled.
Sample: 246 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	313	176	6	29.33	56.23	62.9%	4.5%
Leg break	219	115	2	57.50	52.51	64.8%	5.0%
Right-arm medium	215	184	1	184.00	85.58	45.1%	7.9%
Right-arm fast-medium	88	68	1	68.00	77.27	61.4%	11.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	777	450	11	40.91	57.92	61.6%	4.8%
Death (41-50)	182	173	4	43.25	95.05	42.3%	9.3%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	581	368	19	19.37	3.80	30.6	65.9%	6.7%
Left-handed batters	176	114	4	28.50	3.89	44.0	65.9%	5.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	354	212	6	35.33	3.59	59.0	71.2%	7.3%
Middle (11-40)	246	129	9	14.33	3.15	27.3	68.7%	4.1%
Death (41-50)	157	141	8	17.63	5.39	19.6	49.7%	8.3%