Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 99.0, 6.5 below their strike rate of 105.5 on all balls faced (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1331 balls faced.

Sample: 1,331 balls · high confidence

Batting first: average of 35.5, 5.2 below their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1930 balls faced.

Sample: 1,930 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 35.9, 4.8 below their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 467 balls faced.

Sample: 467 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 24.8, 16.0 below their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (-39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 421 balls faced.

Sample: 421 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 25.2, 15.6 below their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 360 balls faced.

Sample: 360 balls · medium confidence

South Africa: average of 27.2, 13.5 below their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 267 balls faced.

Sample: 267 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 93.7, 11.9 below their strike rate of 105.5 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 331 balls faced.

Sample: 331 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast: average of 29.8, 10.9 below their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 310 balls faced.

Sample: 310 balls · medium confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 120.3, 14.8 above their strike rate of 105.5 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1643 balls faced.

Sample: 1,643 balls · high confidence

Chasing: average of 46.1, 5.4 above their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 2085 balls faced.

Sample: 2,085 balls · high confidence

Off break: strike rate of 140.7, 35.2 above their strike rate of 105.5 on all balls faced (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 312 balls faced.

Sample: 312 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 47.1, 6.3 above their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1331 balls faced.

Sample: 1,331 balls · high confidence

India: average of 49.4, 8.6 above their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 486 balls faced.

Sample: 486 balls · high confidence

Wales: average of 81.4, 40.7 above their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (+100%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 375 balls faced.

Sample: 375 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 67.0, 26.3 above their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (+64%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 283 balls faced.

Sample: 283 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 48.4, 7.6 above their average of 40.7 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 608 balls faced.

Sample: 608 balls · high confidence

Leg break: strike rate of 120.1, 14.6 above their strike rate of 105.5 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 244 balls faced.

Sample: 244 balls · medium confidence