Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

JL Carter, Men's ODI

Batting first: average of 17.6, 10.4 below their average of 28.0 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 281 balls faced.
Sample: 281 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 26, 12 below their balls per dismissal of 38 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 311 balls faced.
Sample: 311 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 24.4, 3.6 below their average of 28.0 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 410 balls faced.
Sample: 410 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 38.4, 10.4 above their average of 28.0 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 477 balls faced.
Sample: 477 balls · high confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 86, 48 above their balls per dismissal of 38 on all balls faced (+127%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 344 balls faced.
Sample: 344 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 53.0, 25.0 above their average of 28.0 on all balls faced (+89%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 206 balls faced.
Sample: 206 balls · low confidence
Off break: strike rate of 86.9, 13.1 above their strike rate of 73.9 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 176 balls faced.
Sample: 176 balls · low confidence
England: average of 45.7, 17.7 above their average of 28.0 on all balls faced (+63%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 160 balls faced.
Sample: 160 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	206	159	3	53.00	77.18	56.3%	6.8%
Off break	176	153	4	38.25	86.93	54.5%	10.8%
Leg break	84	83	4	20.75	98.81	50.0%	13.1%
Right-arm fast	83	26	4	6.50	31.33	75.9%	2.4%
Slow left-arm orthodox	81	53	1	53.00	65.43	55.6%	3.7%
Left-arm fast-medium	67	52	4	13.00	77.61	56.7%	10.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	658	476	16	29.75