Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

JM Anderson, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Away from home: average of 6.9, 1.3 below their average of 8.2 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 266 balls faced.
Sample: 266 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Batting first: average of 9.1, 0.9 above their average of 8.2 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 240 balls faced.
Sample: 240 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 15.3, 7.1 above their average of 8.2 on all balls faced (+87%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 174 balls faced.
Sample: 174 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Death (41-50): economy of 7.63, 2.66 above their economy of 4.97 on all balls bowled (+54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 1493 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,493 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 39.4, 10.1 above their average of 29.3 on all balls bowled (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 1682 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,682 balls · high confidence
India: average of 70.8, 41.5 above their average of 29.3 on all balls bowled (+142%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 619 balls bowled.
Sample: 619 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 33.5, 4.2 above their average of 29.3 on all balls bowled (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 2934 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,934 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 37.6, 8.3 above their average of 29.3 on all balls bowled (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 497 balls bowled.
Sample: 497 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 31.1, 1.8 above their average of 29.3 on all balls bowled (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 708 balls bowled.
Sample: 708 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

South Africa: average of 23.0, 6.3 below their average of 29.3 on all balls bowled (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 825 balls bowled.
Sample: 825 balls · high confidence
Pakistan: average of 22.6, 6.7 below their average of 29.3 on all balls bowled (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 816 balls bowled.
Sample: 816 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): economy of 4.29, 0.67 below their economy of 4.97 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 4559 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,559 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 21.0, 14.3 below their strike rate of 35.4 on all balls bowled (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 1493 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,493 balls · high confidence
England: average of 26.4, 2.9 below their average of 29.3 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 4006 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,006 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 21.0, 8.2 below their average of 29.3 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 674 balls bowled.
Sample: 674 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 4.65, 0.32 below their economy of 4.97 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2791 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,791 balls · high confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	159	88	11	8.00	55.35	66.0%	5.7%
Off break	91	43	4	10.75	47.25	70.3%	3.3%
Right-arm fast	83	38	7	5.43	45.78	60.2%	0.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	324	162	25	6.48	50.00	64.5%	3.7%
Middle (11-40)	174	92	6	15.33	52.87	66.7%	5.7%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	5,909	4,941	179	27.60	5.02	33.0	57.9%	9.9%
Left-handed batters	2,934	2,380	71	33.52	4.87	41.3	60.9%	10.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	4,559	3,262	104	31.37	4.29	43.8	67.8%	9.6%
Middle (11-40)	2,791	2,161	75	28.81	4.65	37.2	58.2%	8.6%
Death (41-50)	1,493	1,898	71	26.73	7.63	21.0	33.2%	13.9%