Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 76.6, 11.2 below their strike rate of 87.8 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 244 balls faced.

Sample: 244 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 20.7, 8.8 below their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 286 balls faced.

Sample: 286 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 27, 7 below their balls per dismissal of 34 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 266 balls faced.

Sample: 266 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 24.7, 4.8 below their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 188 balls faced.

Sample: 188 balls · low confidence

Batting first: average of 26.0, 3.5 below their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 200 balls faced.

Sample: 200 balls · low confidence

Pace: average of 31.6, 2.1 above their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 484 balls faced.

Sample: 484 balls · high confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 70, 37 above their balls per dismissal of 34 on all balls faced (+110%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 282 balls faced.

Sample: 282 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 38.3, 8.8 above their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 386 balls faced.

Sample: 386 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 36.9, 7.4 above their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 330 balls faced.

Sample: 330 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 58.5, 29.0 above their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (+98%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 218 balls faced.

Sample: 218 balls · low confidence