Plans built only from the evidence.

Left-handed batters: average of 88.6, 65.7 above their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (+286%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 578 balls bowled.

Sample: 578 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 4.60, 0.65 above their economy of 3.95 on all balls bowled (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 578 balls bowled.

Sample: 578 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 25.1, 2.1 above their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 797 balls bowled.

Sample: 797 balls · high confidence

Death (41-50): economy of 6.58, 2.63 above their economy of 3.95 on all balls bowled (+67%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 277 balls bowled.

Sample: 277 balls · low confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 16.5, 6.4 below their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1373 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,373 balls · high confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 3.68, 0.27 below their economy of 3.95 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1373 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,373 balls · high confidence

Powerplay (1-10): economy of 3.29, 0.67 below their economy of 3.95 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 798 balls bowled.

Sample: 798 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 21.6, 1.4 below their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1154 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,154 balls · high confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 14.6, 8.3 below their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 270 balls bowled.

Sample: 270 balls · low confidence