Plans built only from the evidence.

Sri Lanka: average of 62.2, 34.2 above their average of 28.0 on all balls bowled (+122%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 381 balls bowled.

Sample: 381 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 69.4, 41.4 above their average of 28.0 on all balls bowled (+148%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 423 balls bowled.

Sample: 423 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 30.0, 2.0 above their average of 28.0 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 3495 balls bowled.

Sample: 3,495 balls · high confidence

Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 45.7, 10.6 above their strike rate of 35.1 on all balls bowled (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: +15%) — 2376 balls bowled.

Sample: 2,376 balls · high confidence

Death (41-50): economy of 6.71, 1.92 above their economy of 4.79 on all balls bowled (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 689 balls bowled.

Sample: 689 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 22.0, 6.0 below their average of 28.0 on all balls bowled (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 828 balls bowled.

Sample: 828 balls · high confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 24.3, 3.7 below their average of 28.0 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1555 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,555 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 15.6, 12.4 below their average of 28.0 on all balls bowled (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 392 balls bowled.

Sample: 392 balls · medium confidence

Death (41-50): strike rate of 16.8, 18.3 below their strike rate of 35.1 on all balls bowled (-52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 689 balls bowled.

Sample: 689 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 26.0, 2.0 below their average of 28.0 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2202 balls bowled.

Sample: 2,202 balls · high confidence

Pakistan: average of 25.1, 2.9 below their average of 28.0 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 395 balls bowled.

Sample: 395 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 15.8, 12.2 below their average of 28.0 on all balls bowled (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 322 balls bowled.

Sample: 322 balls · low confidence