Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Karan KC, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 56.1, 38.1 below their strike rate of 94.2 on all balls faced (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 301 balls faced.
Sample: 301 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 16.0, 2.2 below their average of 18.2 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 474 balls faced.
Sample: 474 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 12.4, 5.8 below their average of 18.2 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 225 balls faced.
Sample: 225 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 15.4, 2.9 below their average of 18.2 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 301 balls faced.
Sample: 301 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 65.3, 28.9 below their strike rate of 94.2 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 176 balls faced.
Sample: 176 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 11.2, 7.0 below their average of 18.2 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 165 balls faced.
Sample: 165 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Chasing: average of 22.4, 4.2 above their average of 18.2 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 358 balls faced.
Sample: 358 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 23.4, 5.2 above their average of 18.2 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 320 balls faced.
Sample: 320 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 28.8, 10.5 above their average of 18.2 on all balls faced (+58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 176 balls faced.
Sample: 176 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 46.7, 16.3 above their strike rate of 30.4 on all balls bowled (+53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 1027 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,027 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 30.3, 4.6 above their average of 25.6 on all balls bowled (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1257 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,257 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): economy of 7.86, 2.81 above their economy of 5.05 on all balls bowled (+56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 599 balls bowled.
Sample: 599 balls · medium confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 27.1, 1.4 above their average of 25.6 on all balls bowled (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2438 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,438 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 27.6, 1.9 above their average of 25.6 on all balls bowled (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 877 balls bowled.
Sample: 877 balls · high confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 28.8, 3.2 above their average of 25.6 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 663 balls bowled.
Sample: 663 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Powerplay (1-10): economy of 4.17, 0.88 below their economy of 5.05 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1690 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,690 balls · high confidence
Oman: average of 17.7, 8.0 below their average of 25.6 on all balls bowled (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 603 balls bowled.
Sample: 603 balls · medium confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 14.3, 16.2 below their strike rate of 30.4 on all balls bowled (-53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 599 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Slow left-arm orthodox	176	115	4	28.75	65.34	63.6%	6.8%
Right-arm medium	167	173	9	19.22	103.59	56.9%	13.8%
Right-arm fast-medium	165	157	14	11.21	95.15	50.3%	12.1%
Off break	105	77	3	25.67	73.33	59.0%	6.7%
Left-arm fast-medium	64	76	4	19.00	118.75	40.6%	12.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	531	615	32	19.22	115.82	46.5%	13.9%
Middle (11-40)	301	169	11	15.36

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,438	2,056	76	27.05	5.06	32.1	59.9%	10.9%
Left-handed batters	700	606	23	26.35	5.19	30.4	56.3%	10.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	1,690	1,175	45	26.11	4.17	37.6	68.5%	9.9%
Middle (11-40)	1,027	833	22	37.86	4.87	46.7	56.3%	9.4%
Death (41-50)	599	785	42	18.69	7.86	14.3	38.7%	14.9%