Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

KJ Garth, Women's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 47.3, 8.7 below their strike rate of 55.9 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 275 balls faced.
Sample: 275 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 10.9, 6.0 below their average of 16.9 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 194 balls faced.
Sample: 194 balls · low confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 27, 3 below their balls per dismissal of 30 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 215 balls faced.
Sample: 215 balls · low confidence
Pace: average of 12.5, 4.4 below their average of 16.9 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 197 balls faced.
Sample: 197 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Middle (11-40): average of 43.3, 26.4 above their average of 16.9 on all balls faced (+156%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 275 balls faced.
Sample: 275 balls · medium confidence
Chasing: average of 33.5, 16.6 above their average of 16.9 on all balls faced (+98%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 260 balls faced.
Sample: 260 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 26.5, 9.6 above their average of 16.9 on all balls faced (+56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 248 balls faced.
Sample: 248 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 25.5, 8.6 above their average of 16.9 on all balls faced (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 187 balls faced.
Sample: 187 balls · low confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 41, 11 above their balls per dismissal of 30 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 165 balls faced.
Sample: 165 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 45.4, 11.0 above their strike rate of 34.4 on all balls bowled (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 726 balls bowled.
Sample: 726 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 41.2, 17.2 above their average of 24.0 on all balls bowled (+72%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 416 balls bowled.
Sample: 416 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 4.76, 0.58 above their economy of 4.18 on all balls bowled (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 416 balls bowled.
Sample: 416 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 37.8, 13.8 above their average of 24.0 on all balls bowled (+57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +10%) — 432 balls bowled.
Sample: 432 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 51.8, 27.8 above their average of 24.0 on all balls bowled (+116%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 270 balls bowled.
Sample: 270 balls · low confidence
Pakistan: average of 28.0, 4.0 above their average of 24.0 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 282 balls bowled.
Sample: 282 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: average of 21.5, 2.5 below their average of 24.0 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1474 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,474 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 14.3, 9.7 below their average of 24.0 on all balls bowled (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 249 balls bowled.
Sample: 249 balls · low confidence
Ireland: average of 14.0, 10.0 below their average of 24.0 on all balls bowled (-42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 258 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm medium	112	80	8	10.00	71.43	58.9%	8.9%
Off break	106	60	2	30.00	56.60	55.7%	2.8%
Slow left-arm orthodox	104	26	2	13.00	25.00	74.0%	0.0%
Right-arm fast-medium	71	39	3	13.00	54.93	56.3%	4.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	275	130	3	43.33	47.27	65.8%	4.0%
Death (41-50)	128	111	8	13.88	86.72	38.3%	6.3%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,474	990	46	21.52	4.03	32.0	65.7%	8.3%
Left-handed batters	416	330	8	41.25	4.76	52.0	62.5%	9.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	996	647	29	22.31	3.90	34.3	71.2%	9.1%
Middle (11-40)	726	508	16	31.75	4.20	45.4	61.7%	7.4%
Death (41-50)	171	165	10	16.50	5.79	17.1	43.9%	9.9%