Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

KMA Paul, Men's ODI

Spin: average of 18.7, 2.2 below their average of 20.9 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 175 balls faced.
Sample: 175 balls · low confidence
Batting first: average of 18.3, 2.6 below their average of 20.9 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 184 balls faced.
Sample: 184 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 22.7, 1.8 above their average of 20.9 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 276 balls faced.
Sample: 276 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 23.4, 2.5 above their average of 20.9 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 187 balls faced.
Sample: 187 balls · low confidence
Chasing: average of 24.6, 3.7 above their average of 20.9 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 178 balls faced.
Sample: 178 balls · low confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 50.6, 8.5 above their average of 42.1 on all balls bowled (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 822 balls bowled.
Sample: 822 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 61.6, 22.6 above their strike rate of 39.0 on all balls bowled (+58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 678 balls bowled.
Sample: 678 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 55.8, 13.7 above their average of 42.1 on all balls bowled (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 258 balls bowled.
Sample: 258 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 36.7, 5.4 below their average of 42.1 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 894 balls bowled.
Sample: 894 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 5.62, 0.85 below their economy of 6.47 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 678 balls bowled.
Sample: 678 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 29.3, 12.7 below their average of 42.1 on all balls bowled (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 349 balls bowled.
Sample: 349 balls · low confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 15.2, 23.8 below their strike rate of 39.0 on all balls bowled (-61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 259 balls bowled.
Sample: 259 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	87	83	4	20.75	95.40	43.7%	11.5%
Slow left-arm orthodox	60	34	5	6.80	56.67	66.7%	5.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	197	177	7	25.29	89.85	55.3%	11.7%
Death (41-50)	165	178	10	17.80	107.88	42.4%	11.5%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	822	910	18	50.56	6.64	45.7	45.1%	13.1%
Left-handed batters	349	352	12	29.33	6.05	29.1	50.1%	12.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	678	635	11	57.73	5.62	61.6	50.7%	10.8%
Death (41-50)	259	391	17	23.00	9.06	15.2	26.3%	18.1%
Powerplay (1-10)	234	236	2	118.00	6.05	117.0	57.3%	13.7%