Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

KMDN Kulasekara, Men's ODI

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 65.0, 17.1 below their strike rate of 82.1 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 906 balls faced.
Sample: 906 balls · high confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 18, 1 below their balls per dismissal of 20 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1026 balls faced.
Sample: 1,026 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 60.1, 22.0 below their strike rate of 82.1 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 233 balls faced.
Sample: 233 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 14.0, 2.1 below their average of 16.1 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 233 balls faced.
Sample: 233 balls · medium confidence
Off break: strike rate of 72.6, 9.5 below their strike rate of 82.1 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 212 balls faced.
Sample: 212 balls · low confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 25, 5 above their balls per dismissal of 20 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 471 balls faced.
Sample: 471 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 22.4, 6.3 above their average of 16.1 on all balls faced (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 255 balls faced.
Sample: 255 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 21.8, 5.7 above their average of 16.1 on all balls faced (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 388 balls faced.
Sample: 388 balls · medium confidence

Death (41-50): economy of 7.52, 2.57 above their economy of 4.94 on all balls bowled (+52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 1044 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,044 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 117.4, 82.9 above their average of 34.5 on all balls bowled (+241%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 637 balls bowled.
Sample: 637 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 87.0, 52.5 above their average of 34.5 on all balls bowled (+153%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 540 balls bowled.
Sample: 540 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 73.8, 39.3 above their average of 34.5 on all balls bowled (+114%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 362 balls bowled.
Sample: 362 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 47.3, 12.8 above their average of 34.5 on all balls bowled (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 527 balls bowled.
Sample: 527 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 29.0, 5.5 below their average of 34.5 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2565 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,565 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): economy of 4.31, 0.63 below their economy of 4.94 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 4283 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,283 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 29.6, 4.8 below their average of 34.5 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 853 balls bowled.
Sample: 853 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 31.2, 3.3 below their average of 34.5 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1511 balls bowled.

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	497	433	30	14.43	87.12	49.9%	9.5%
Slow left-arm orthodox	233	140	10	14.00	60.09	63.1%	4.7%
Left-arm fast-medium	221	202	14	14.43	91.40	46.6%	10.4%
Off break	212	154	6	25.67	72.64	52.8%	6.1%
Right-arm fast	176	205	10	20.50	116.48	44.9%	15.3%
Leg break	120	74	4	18.50	61.67	60.0%	3.3%
Right-arm medium	66	41	6	6.83	62.12	59.1%	6.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	5,253	4,308	127	33.92	4.92	41.4	58.9%	9.8%
Left-handed batters	2,776	2,307	65	35.49	4.99	42.7	58.3%	10.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	4,283	3,077	89	34.57	4.31	48.1	67.3%	9.8%
Middle (11-40)	2,702	2,230	62	35.97	4.95	43.6	55.2%	9.3%
Death (41-50)	1,044	1,308	41	31.90	7.52	25.5	32.7%	13.1%

Middle (11-40)	906	589	36	16.36	65.01	61.3%	6.7%
Death (41-50)	697	728	46	15.83	104.45	38.9%	10.3%