Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

LE Plunkett, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Chasing: average of 17.9, 2.7 below their average of 20.6 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 297 balls faced.
Sample: 297 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Away from home: average of 23.1, 2.5 above their average of 20.6 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 236 balls faced.
Sample: 236 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 34.5, 13.9 above their average of 20.6 on all balls faced (+67%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 158 balls faced.
Sample: 158 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 131.0, 22.1 above their strike rate of 108.9 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 158 balls faced.
Sample: 158 balls · low confidence
Batting first: average of 24.9, 4.3 above their average of 20.6 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 195 balls faced.
Sample: 195 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 38.2, 7.8 above their strike rate of 30.4 on all balls bowled (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 2750 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,750 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 33.9, 4.8 above their average of 29.1 on all balls bowled (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1500 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,500 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 39.8, 10.6 above their average of 29.1 on all balls bowled (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 512 balls bowled.
Sample: 512 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 37.8, 8.6 above their average of 29.1 on all balls bowled (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 522 balls bowled.
Sample: 522 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: average of 26.8, 2.3 below their average of 29.1 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2481 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,481 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 5.40, 0.35 below their economy of 5.75 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2750 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,750 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 15.7, 14.7 below their strike rate of 30.4 on all balls bowled (-48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 691 balls bowled.
Sample: 691 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 24.7, 4.4 below their average of 29.1 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 475 balls bowled.
Sample: 475 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 24.4, 4.8 below their average of 29.1 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 405 balls bowled.
Sample: 405 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 24.8, 4.3 below their average of 29.1 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 680 balls bowled.
Sample: 680 balls · medium confidence
Wales: average of 18.4, 10.7 below their average of 29.1 on all balls bowled (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 244 balls bowled.
Sample: 244 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	158	207	6	34.50	131.01	32.3%	14.6%
Right-arm fast	96	138	10	13.80	143.75	36.5%	22.9%
Off break	85	61	4	15.25	71.76	51.8%	5.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	360	457	21	21.76	126.94	32.5%	14.4%
Middle (11-40)	132	79	5	15.80	59.85	63.6%	6.8%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,481	2,358	88	26.80	5.70	28.2	48.0%	10.0%
Left-handed batters	1,500	1,459	43	33.93	5.84	34.9	49.9%	11.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	2,750	2,475	72	34.38	5.40	38.2	49.1%	9.6%
Death (41-50)	691	793	44	18.02	6.89	15.7	38.8%	12.4%
Powerplay (1-10)	540	549	15	36.60	6.10	36.0	59.3%	13.7%