Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

LV van Beek, Men's ODI

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 64.6, 19.3 below their strike rate of 84.0 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 376 balls faced.
Sample: 376 balls · medium confidence
Netherlands: average of 15.4, 7.4 below their average of 22.8 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +17%) — 189 balls faced.
Sample: 189 balls · low confidence
At home: average of 15.4, 7.4 below their average of 22.8 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 189 balls faced.
Sample: 189 balls · low confidence
Chasing: average of 18.8, 4.0 below their average of 22.8 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 224 balls faced.
Sample: 224 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 26.6, 3.8 above their average of 22.8 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 307 balls faced.
Sample: 307 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 26.4, 3.6 above their average of 22.8 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 400 balls faced.
Sample: 400 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 36.4, 5.2 above their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1392 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,392 balls · high confidence
Netherlands: average of 57.7, 26.5 above their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (+85%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 546 balls bowled.
Sample: 546 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 57.7, 26.5 above their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (+85%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 546 balls bowled.
Sample: 546 balls · medium confidence
Death (41-50): economy of 8.50, 3.08 above their economy of 5.43 on all balls bowled (+57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 345 balls bowled.
Sample: 345 balls · low confidence

Middle (11-40): economy of 4.59, 0.84 below their economy of 5.43 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 792 balls bowled.
Sample: 792 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 20.8, 10.4 below their average of 31.2 on all balls bowled (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 456 balls bowled.
Sample: 456 balls · medium confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	135	128	3	42.67	94.81	45.9%	9.6%
Off break	114	109	4	27.25	95.61	51.8%	9.6%
Left-arm fast-medium	83	55	2	27.50	66.27	53.0%	6.0%
Right-arm fast	82	65	6	10.83	79.27	39.0%	3.7%
Leg break	78	71	3	23.67	91.03	47.4%	6.4%
Slow left-arm orthodox	73	41	1	41.00	56.16	65.8%	5.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	376	243	11	22.09

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,392	1,275	35	36.43	5.50	39.8	56.4%	10.7%
Left-handed batters	456	395	19	20.79	5.20	24.0	56.1%	9.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	792	606	19	31.89	4.59	41.7	55.6%	6.3%
Powerplay (1-10)	726	590	19	31.05	4.88	38.2	67.4%	12.4%
Death (41-50)	345	489	16	30.56	8.50	21.6	35.4%	16.2%