Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

M Jansen, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): average of 23.5, 4.7 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 371 balls faced.
Sample: 371 balls · medium confidence
Chasing: average of 21.2, 6.9 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 265 balls faced.
Sample: 265 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 94.9, 19.6 below their strike rate of 114.5 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 371 balls faced.
Sample: 371 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 17.7, 10.5 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 202 balls faced.
Sample: 202 balls · low confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 17, 7 below their balls per dismissal of 25 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 208 balls faced.
Sample: 208 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 39.5, 11.4 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 363 balls faced.
Sample: 363 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 37.1, 9.0 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 300 balls faced.
Sample: 300 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 34, 9 above their balls per dismissal of 25 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 336 balls faced.
Sample: 336 balls · medium confidence
Death (41-50): average of 36.9, 8.7 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 194 balls faced.
Sample: 194 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 41.8, 13.7 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 180 balls faced.
Sample: 180 balls · low confidence
Australia: average of 31.8, 3.6 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 204 balls faced.
Sample: 204 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 54.2, 22.8 above their strike rate of 31.4 on all balls bowled (+72%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 596 balls bowled.
Sample: 596 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 72.8, 39.0 above their average of 33.8 on all balls bowled (+115%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 311 balls bowled.
Sample: 311 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

No bowling strength clears the thresholds in this format.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	180	209	5	41.80	116.11	47.8%	15.6%
Leg break	84	115	3	38.33	136.90	40.5%	16.7%
Slow left-arm orthodox	72	43	2	21.50	59.72	58.3%	5.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	371	352	15	23.47	94.88	53.6%	12.4%
Death (41-50)	194	295	8	36.88	152.06	32.5%	19.1%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	958	1,025	29	35.34	6.42	33.0	54.9%	14.6%
Left-handed batters	644	700	22	31.82	6.52	29.3	55.6%	16.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	750	733	23	31.87	5.86	32.6	64.4%	15.6%
Middle (11-40)	596	652	11	59.27	6.56	54.2	50.7%	14.1%
Death (41-50)	256	340	17	20.00	7.97	15.1	38.7%	16.4%