Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

M Muralitharan, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Chasing: average of 6.3, 1.8 below their average of 8.1 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 156 balls faced.
Sample: 156 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Away from home: average of 9.2, 1.1 above their average of 8.1 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 255 balls faced.
Sample: 255 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 9.4, 1.3 above their average of 8.1 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 223 balls faced.
Sample: 223 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

At home: average of 30.9, 6.8 above their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2206 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,206 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 30.9, 6.8 above their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 2206 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,206 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 31.3, 7.2 above their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 2014 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,014 balls · high confidence
India: average of 38.5, 14.4 above their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (+60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 1304 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,304 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 4.29, 0.20 above their economy of 4.09 on all balls bowled (+5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 2014 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,014 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 32.0, 7.9 above their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 1278 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,278 balls · high confidence
England: average of 38.9, 14.8 above their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 412 balls bowled.
Sample: 412 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Away from home: average of 21.6, 2.5 below their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 4313 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,313 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 21.8, 2.3 below their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 4703 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,703 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 15.0, 9.1 below their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 699 balls bowled.
Sample: 699 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 14.6, 9.5 below their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (-39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 604 balls bowled.
Sample: 604 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 14.5, 9.6 below their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 401 balls bowled.
Sample: 401 balls · medium confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 11.3, 12.8 below their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (-53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 414 balls bowled.
Sample: 414 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 3.86, 0.23 below their economy of 4.09 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 5507 balls bowled.
Sample: 5,507 balls · high confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	112	110	13	8.46	98.21	45.5%	11.6%
Left-arm fast-medium	62	53	10	5.30	85.48	53.2%	9.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	254	205	30	6.83	80.71	50.4%	7.9%
Middle (11-40)	125	112	9	12.44	89.60	59.2%	13.6%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	4,703	3,140	144	21.81	4.01	32.7	55.1%	4.1%
Left-handed batters	2,014	1,439	46	31.28	4.29	43.8	55.0%	5.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	5,507	3,544	146	24.27	3.86	37.7	56.0%	3.9%
Death (41-50)	1,102	948	39	24.31	5.16	28.3	49.0%	6.7%
Powerplay (1-10)	108	87	5	17.40	4.83	21.6	70.4%	8.3%