Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

M Theekshana, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Pace: average of 12.8, 3.5 below their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 317 balls faced.
Sample: 317 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 39.4, 12.4 below their strike rate of 51.9 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 284 balls faced.
Sample: 284 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 14.4, 1.9 below their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 399 balls faced.
Sample: 399 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 29, 2 below their balls per dismissal of 31 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 322 balls faced.
Sample: 322 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 11.9, 4.4 below their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 196 balls faced.
Sample: 196 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 11.9, 4.4 below their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 196 balls faced.
Sample: 196 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Spin: average of 28.5, 12.2 above their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (+75%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 248 balls faced.
Sample: 248 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 19.8, 3.5 above their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 369 balls faced.
Sample: 369 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 22.4, 6.1 above their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 284 balls faced.
Sample: 284 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 82.0, 65.7 above their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (+404%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 163 balls faced.
Sample: 163 balls · low confidence
Chasing: average of 23.0, 6.7 above their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 166 balls faced.
Sample: 166 balls · low confidence
India: average of 23.7, 7.4 above their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 154 balls faced.
Sample: 154 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 60.5, 8.6 above their strike rate of 51.9 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 162 balls faced.
Sample: 162 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

India: average of 54.5, 29.6 above their average of 24.9 on all balls bowled (+119%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 368 balls bowled.
Sample: 368 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 37.0, 12.1 above their average of 24.9 on all balls bowled (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 402 balls bowled.
Sample: 402 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 37.2, 12.4 above their average of 24.9 on all balls bowled (+50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 395 balls bowled.
Sample: 395 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 51.8, 26.9 above their average of 24.9 on all balls bowled (+108%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 292 balls bowled.
Sample: 292 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Left-handed batters: economy of 4.20, 0.23 below their economy of 4.43 on all balls bowled (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1112 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,112 balls · high confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 16.6, 8.3 below their average of 24.9 on all balls bowled (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 503 balls bowled.
Sample: 503 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 15.4, 9.5 below their average of 24.9 on all balls bowled (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 251 balls bowled.
Sample: 251 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	162	98	7	14.00	60.49	61.7%	4.9%
Off break	93	39	2	19.50	41.94	66.7%	2.2%
Slow left-arm orthodox	91	33	1	33.00	36.26	69.2%	2.2%
Right-arm fast	81	41	4	10.25	50.62	69.1%	3.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	284	112	5	22.40	39.44	72.2%	3.2%
Death (41-50)	281	181	13	13.92	64.41	55.5%	4.3%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,452	1,114	44	25.32	4.60	33.0	53.2%	6.6%
Left-handed batters	1,112	778	32	24.31	4.20	34.8	59.0%	6.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,576	1,147	46	24.93	4.37	34.3	53.5%	5.3%
Powerplay (1-10)	744	517	17	30.41	4.17	43.8	64.7%	8.9%
Death (41-50)	244	228	13	17.54	5.61	18.8	43.0%	6.1%