Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

MA Leask, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): average of 21.7, 6.1 below their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 854 balls faced.
Sample: 854 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 86.4, 27.1 below their strike rate of 113.5 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 854 balls faced.
Sample: 854 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 71.7, 41.8 below their strike rate of 113.5 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 251 balls faced.
Sample: 251 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 20.0, 7.8 below their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 251 balls faced.
Sample: 251 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 21.6, 6.2 below their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 317 balls faced.
Sample: 317 balls · medium confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 16.5, 11.4 below their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 199 balls faced.
Sample: 199 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Death (41-50): average of 38.0, 10.2 above their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 501 balls faced.
Sample: 501 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 129.7, 16.2 above their strike rate of 113.5 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 317 balls faced.
Sample: 317 balls · medium confidence
Nepal: average of 41.6, 13.7 above their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 251 balls faced.
Sample: 251 balls · medium confidence
Nepal: average of 39.2, 11.4 above their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 163 balls faced.
Sample: 163 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: average of 40.6, 9.6 above their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1580 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,580 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: economy of 5.39, 0.36 above their economy of 5.03 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1580 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,580 balls · high confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 61.0, 30.1 above their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (+97%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 405 balls bowled.
Sample: 405 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 36.2, 5.3 above their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 561 balls bowled.
Sample: 561 balls · medium confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 42.4, 11.5 above their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 393 balls bowled.
Sample: 393 balls · medium confidence
Nepal: average of 36.4, 5.5 above their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 253 balls bowled.
Sample: 253 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Left-handed batters: average of 21.7, 9.2 below their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 941 balls bowled.
Sample: 941 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 4.43, 0.60 below their economy of 5.03 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 941 balls bowled.
Sample: 941 balls · high confidence
Namibia: average of 16.1, 14.8 below their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (-48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 304 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	317	411	19	21.63	129.65	43.2%	18.6%
Slow left-arm orthodox	251	180	9	20.00	71.71	50.6%	4.4%
Right-arm medium	226	276	7	39.43	122.12	43.4%	15.5%
Off break	189	224	6	37.33	118.52	42.3%	13.8%
Left-arm fast-medium	117	166	3	55.33	141.88	37.6%	17.9%
Leg break	113	100	4	25.00	88.50	53.1%	9.7%
Right-arm fast	84	131	2	65.50	155.95	36.9%	22.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,580	1,420	35	40.57	5.39	45.1	48.1%	8.2%
Left-handed batters	941	695	32	21.72	4.43	29.4	57.3%	7.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	2,246	1,844	59	31.25	4.93	38.1	50.9%	7.4%
Death (41-50)	216	217	10	21.70	6.03	21.6	49.1%	11.1%

Middle (11-40)	854	738	34	21.71	86.42	54.4%	10.2%
Death (41-50)	501	798	21	38.00	159.28	27.3%	19.2%