Plans built only from the evidence.

Off break: strike rate of 75.5, 17.8 below their strike rate of 93.2 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 815 balls faced.

Sample: 815 balls · high confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 31, 4 below their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1266 balls faced.

Sample: 1,266 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 28.7, 3.7 below their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 2154 balls faced.

Sample: 2,154 balls · high confidence

Batting first: average of 29.1, 3.2 below their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1666 balls faced.

Sample: 1,666 balls · high confidence

England: average of 21.1, 11.3 below their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 433 balls faced.

Sample: 433 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: average of 25.2, 7.2 below their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 383 balls faced.

Sample: 383 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 15.3, 17.1 below their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (-53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 162 balls faced.

Sample: 162 balls · low confidence

India: average of 17.4, 15.0 below their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (-46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 168 balls faced.

Sample: 168 balls · low confidence

Left-arm fast: average of 22.0, 10.4 below their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 157 balls faced.

Sample: 157 balls · low confidence

Spin: average of 46.3, 13.9 above their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 1146 balls faced.

Sample: 1,146 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 38, 3 above their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 907 balls faced.

Sample: 907 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 42.2, 9.8 above their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 625 balls faced.

Sample: 625 balls · high confidence

Middle (11-40): average of 39.1, 6.7 above their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 1708 balls faced.

Sample: 1,708 balls · high confidence

Chasing: average of 36.7, 4.3 above their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1634 balls faced.

Sample: 1,634 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 36.5, 4.1 above their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1286 balls faced.

Sample: 1,286 balls · high confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 105.2, 12.0 above their strike rate of 93.2 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 383 balls faced.

Sample: 383 balls · medium confidence

Bangladesh: average of 40.9, 8.5 above their average of 32.4 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 677 balls faced.

Sample: 677 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 99.0, 5.8 above their strike rate of 93.2 on all balls faced (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1023 balls faced.

Sample: 1,023 balls · high confidence