Plans built only from the evidence.

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 25, 15 below their balls per dismissal of 40 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 254 balls faced.

Sample: 254 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 16.6, 26.3 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 154 balls faced.

Sample: 154 balls · low confidence

Batting first: average of 33.3, 9.6 below their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 219 balls faced.

Sample: 219 balls · low confidence

England: average of 66.2, 23.3 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 527 balls faced.

Sample: 527 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 66.2, 23.3 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 527 balls faced.

Sample: 527 balls · high confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 87, 47 above their balls per dismissal of 40 on all balls faced (+116%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 260 balls faced.

Sample: 260 balls · medium confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 118.8, 11.8 above their strike rate of 107.0 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 292 balls faced.

Sample: 292 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 49.6, 6.7 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 462 balls faced.

Sample: 462 balls · high confidence

New Zealand: average of 52.5, 9.6 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 305 balls faced.

Sample: 305 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm medium: average of 56.7, 13.8 above their average of 42.9 on all balls faced (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 375 balls faced.

Sample: 375 balls · medium confidence