Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

MG Bracewell, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Batting first: average of 25.6, 11.6 below their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 446 balls faced.
Sample: 446 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 93.4, 14.2 below their strike rate of 107.5 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 694 balls faced.
Sample: 694 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 23.4, 13.9 below their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 284 balls faced.
Sample: 284 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 23.4, 13.9 below their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 284 balls faced.
Sample: 284 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 33.5, 3.8 below their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 413 balls faced.
Sample: 413 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 30, 4 below their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 362 balls faced.
Sample: 362 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 31.9, 5.4 below their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 253 balls faced.
Sample: 253 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 25.1, 12.1 below their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 164 balls faced.
Sample: 164 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Chasing: average of 55.1, 17.9 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 523 balls faced.
Sample: 523 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 46.2, 9.0 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 685 balls faced.
Sample: 685 balls · high confidence
Pace: average of 40.9, 3.7 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 534 balls faced.
Sample: 534 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 138.6, 31.1 above their strike rate of 107.5 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 251 balls faced.
Sample: 251 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 69.6, 32.4 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+87%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 251 balls faced.
Sample: 251 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 42, 7 above their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 502 balls faced.
Sample: 502 balls · high confidence
Off break: average of 96.0, 58.8 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+158%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 203 balls faced.
Sample: 203 balls · low confidence
India: average of 77.3, 40.1 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+108%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 166 balls faced.
Sample: 166 balls · low confidence
India: average of 71.8, 34.5 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+93%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 209 balls faced.
Sample: 209 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: average of 43.7, 9.1 above their average of 34.6 on all balls bowled (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1298 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,298 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 42.9, 8.3 above their average of 34.6 on all balls bowled (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 382 balls bowled.
Sample: 382 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 74.8, 40.2 above their average of 34.6 on all balls bowled (+116%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 318 balls bowled.
Sample: 318 balls · low confidence
West Indies: average of 39.1, 4.5 above their average of 34.6 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 358 balls bowled.
Sample: 358 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Pakistan: average of 23.7, 10.9 below their average of 34.6 on all balls bowled (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 540 balls bowled.
Sample: 540 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 24.9, 9.7 below their average of 34.6 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 628 balls bowled.
Sample: 628 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	251	348	5	69.60	138.65	41.8%	19.1%
Off break	203	192	2	96.00	94.58	48.3%	10.8%
Right-arm fast	129	124	5	24.80	96.12	47.3%	12.4%
Leg break	91	70	5	14.00	76.92	58.2%	7.7%
Slow left-arm orthodox	84	73	3	24.33	86.90	42.9%	8.3%
Left-arm fast-medium	76	101	2	50.50	132.89	39.5%	17.1%
Right-arm medium	65	72	2	36.00	110.77	50.8%	16.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,298	1,092	25	43.68	5.05	51.9	48.9%	7.2%
Left-handed batters	628	497	20	24.85	4.75	31.4	54.1%	8.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,668	1,304	35	37.26	4.69	47.7	52.1%	7.0%
Death (41-50)	166	213	5	42.60	7.70	33.2	32.5%	12.0%
Powerplay (1-10)	102	74	6	12.33	4.35	17.0	58.8%	7.8%

Middle (11-40)	694	648	16	40.50	93.37	50.6%	11.8%
Death (41-50)	260	387	11	35.18	148.85	32.3%	18.5%